TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094505
Played Sep 8Finished
Evhenii Hrytsenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119119611119
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvhenii Hrytsenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvhenii Hrytsenko above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Evhenii Hrytsenko at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Evhenii Hrytsenko 31–27 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Oleksandr Zhyrnov has won 27 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hrytsenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-27 in 58
Hrytsenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrytsenko 1728 vs Zhyrnov 1730
Zhyrnov
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrytsenko 100% vs Zhyrnov 60%
Hrytsenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrytsenko 70% vs Zhyrnov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrytsenko +5 · Zhyrnov -2
Hrytsenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrytsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrytsenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrytsenko 1.73 / Zhyrnov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrytsenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13094505
Hrytsenko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 59 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Zhyrnov2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 71 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrytsenko6wins
AwayZhyrnov4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHrytsenko leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrytsenko100%4 of 4
AwayZhyrnov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrytsenko4Zhyrnov6n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S2Hrytsenko8Zhyrnov2n = 10Hrytsenko took 8 of 10
S3Hrytsenko3Zhyrnov7n = 10Zhyrnov took 7 of 10
S4Hrytsenko5Zhyrnov3n = 8Hrytsenko took 5 of 8
S5Hrytsenko3Zhyrnov2n = 5Hrytsenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrytsenkoZhyrnovH − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.437.6+4.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrytsenkoZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 652 vs 381 / 76549.7%49.8%324 / 652 vs 381 / 765Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrytsenkoHrytsenko 1.73/Zhyrnov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hrytsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 30 · 12:10E. Hrytsenko—111189123O. Zhyrnov—751111102
WJul 29 · 13:10E. Hrytsenko—11117113O. Zhyrnov—851141
WJul 25 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko—7111411113O. Zhyrnov—11516492
WJul 19 · 06:00E. Hrytsenko—1111113O. Zhyrnov—4550
WJul 14 · 16:40E. Hrytsenko—11117113O. Zhyrnov—961191
LJul 9 · 16:40E. Hrytsenko—911111132O. Zhyrnov—115134113
LJul 8 · 12:10E. Hrytsenko—91111792O. Zhyrnov—116811113
LJul 2 · 12:10E. Hrytsenko—9880O. Zhyrnov—1111113
WJun 6 · 10:20E. Hrytsenko—711911123O. Zhyrnov—119117102
LMay 21 · 12:10E. Hrytsenko—10811101O. Zhyrnov—12113123
E. Hrytsenko10
LSep 8 · 11:50A. Derevianko1.731111133E. Hrytsenko2.0065110WSep 8 · 09:50E. Hrytsenko1.73139711123I. Nitchenko2.001111111102WSep 8 · 08:20E. Hrytsenko2.501111113M. Mrykh1.506790WSep 8 · 06:20E. Hrytsenko2.63611311113O. Strutinskiy1.4411411772WSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082WSep 7 · 16:30E. Hrytsenko2.105101113143A. Derevianko1.671112611122WSep 7 · 15:00E. Hrytsenko2.63117117113M. Mrykh1.4471181142LSep 7 · 13:30E. Hrytsenko2.63111080O. Strutinskiy1.441312113LSep 7 · 12:00E. Hrytsenko3.25117321V. Savoliuk1.3361111113WSep 4 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.8011119113I. Nitchenko1.91841131
O. Zhyrnov10
LSep 8 · 08:50A. Derevianko1.401111113O. Zhyrnov2.754650LSep 8 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.20111010101I. Nitchenko1.6171212123WSep 8 · 06:50M. Mrykh1.44116591O. Zhyrnov2.6341111113WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142
Upcoming Matches
E. Hrytsenko
Nothing scheduled
O. Zhyrnov
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.