TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12367439
Played Aug 6Finished
Oleksii Nadporozhskyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210911115119––
Yaroslav Kovshun
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Kovshun to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Nadporozhskyi above · Yaroslav Kovshun below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Yaroslav Kovshun at 62.8%
78 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:32What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Nadporozhskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Nadporozhskyi 1336 vs Kovshun 1676
Kovshun
Wrong
both rated, 340 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadporozhskyi 20% vs Kovshun 40%
Kovshun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadporozhskyi 10% vs Kovshun 50%
Kovshun
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadporozhskyi -3 · Kovshun -1
Nadporozhskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Nadporozhskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nadporozhskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadporozhskyi 1.67 / Kovshun 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Nadporozhskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12367439
Nadporozhskyi1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kovshun2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 33 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back22% 11 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadporozhskyiKovshunBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 186 vs 374 / 67331.2%55.6%58 / 186 vs 374 / 673Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadporozhskyiNadporozhskyi 1.67/Kovshun 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Nadporozhskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nadporozhskyi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Nadporozhskyi10
WSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091LSep 3 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn2.2081111113O. Nadporozhskyi1.61116221WSep 3 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.6111951282O. Nadporozhskyi2.204111110113LSep 3 · 12:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.836111181D. Habrelyan1.8311613113WSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WAug 6 · 16:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.911111123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8078100LAug 6 · 15:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.007990M. Deineha1.731111113LAug 6 · 13:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.8312911492Y. Holoborodko1.831011411113LAug 6 · 10:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.67711241R. Sopivnyk2.1011811113LApr 9 · 17:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.2587110A. Derevianko1.571111133
Y. Kovshun10
LSep 5 · 10:52A. Troyan1.73118711113Y. Kovshun2.0071111272WSep 5 · 09:50Y. Kovshun1.50314119123A. Troyan2.501112811102LSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:48A. Kotiash1.91117711113Y. Kovshun1.8091111972LSep 5 · 06:18I. Efimenko1.36148115113Y. Kovshun3.00121171162LSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113LSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912WSep 4 · 08:00Y. Kovshun1.401111133A. Troyan2.7588110WSep 4 · 07:00A. Kotiash1.57118841Y. Kovshun2.2591111113WSep 4 · 05:30Y. Kovshun3.00891111133R. Sopivnyk1.36111188112
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