TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067519
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1149115111210811
Oleksii Nadporozhskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:10 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Zhyrnov above · Oleksii Nadporozhskyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 57.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Zhyrnov 1–1 Oleksii Nadporozhskyi Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zhyrnov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zhyrnov 1699 vs Nadporozhskyi 1408
Zhyrnov
Wrong
both rated, 291 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zhyrnov 80% vs Nadporozhskyi 40%
Zhyrnov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zhyrnov 90% vs Nadporozhskyi 40%
Zhyrnov
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zhyrnov +2 · Nadporozhskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zhyrnov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhyrnov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZhyrnov 1.61 / Nadporozhskyi 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067519
Zhyrnov1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite62% won 113 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it93% 56 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it84% 84 of 100
Nadporozhskyi2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZhyrnov1wins
AwayNadporozhskyi1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricZhyrnovNadporozhskyiZ − NBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.045.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZhyrnovNadporozhskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime376 / 759 vs 47 / 14549.5%32.4%376 / 759 vs 47 / 145Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovZhyrnov 1.61/Nadporozhskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nadporozhskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 3 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov—11951282O. Nadporozhskyi—4111110113
WApr 9 · 11:40O. Zhyrnov—711711113O. Nadporozhskyi—11811672
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960WSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:40O. Zhyrnov1.44118961R. Sopivnyk2.6391111113WSep 5 · 11:40O. Varlamov1.8351090O. Zhyrnov1.83111292
O. Nadporozhskyi10
WSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091LSep 3 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn2.2081111113O. Nadporozhskyi1.61116221LSep 3 · 12:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.836111181D. Habrelyan1.8311613113WSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WAug 6 · 16:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.911111123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8078100LAug 6 · 15:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.007990M. Deineha1.731111113LAug 6 · 13:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.8312911492Y. Holoborodko1.831011411113WAug 6 · 12:10O. Nadporozhskyi1.6712911113Y. Kovshun2.101011591LAug 6 · 10:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.67711241R. Sopivnyk2.1011811113LApr 9 · 17:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.2587110A. Derevianko1.571111133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.