TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12367400
Played Aug 6Finished
Oleksii Nadporozhskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911911––––
Maksym Deineha
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Deineha to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Nadporozhskyi above · Maksym Deineha below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Maksym Deineha at 72.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Nadporozhskyi 0–1 Maksym Deineha Oleksii Nadporozhskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Deineha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nadporozhskyi 1351 vs Deineha 1770
Deineha
Correct
both rated, 419 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadporozhskyi 20% vs Deineha 60%
Deineha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadporozhskyi 20% vs Deineha 80%
Deineha
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadporozhskyi -1 · Deineha +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Deineha) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nadporozhskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadporozhskyi 2.00 / Deineha 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Deineha)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12367400
Nadporozhskyi2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Deineha1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNadporozhskyi0wins
AwayDeineha1wins
Deineha leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricNadporozhskyiDeinehaN − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.033.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadporozhskyiDeinehaBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 186 vs 18 / 2831.2%64.3%58 / 186 vs 18 / 28Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DeinehaNadporozhskyi 2.00/Deineha 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Deineha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Deineha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 6 · 15:10O. Nadporozhskyi—7990M. Deineha—1111113
O. Nadporozhskyi10
WSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091LSep 3 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn2.2081111113O. Nadporozhskyi1.61116221WSep 3 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.6111951282O. Nadporozhskyi2.204111110113LSep 3 · 12:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.836111181D. Habrelyan1.8311613113WSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WAug 6 · 16:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.911111123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8078100LAug 6 · 13:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.8312911492Y. Holoborodko1.831011411113WAug 6 · 12:10O. Nadporozhskyi1.6712911113Y. Kovshun2.101011591LAug 6 · 10:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.67711241R. Sopivnyk2.1011811113LApr 9 · 17:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.2587110A. Derevianko1.571111133
M. Deineha10
WSep 3 · 19:00M. Deineha1.83118117113Y. Opryshchenko1.8351161152WSep 3 · 17:00E. Hrytsenko2.105121131M. Deineha1.6711148113WSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 14:00M. Deineha1.91861111113O. Strutinskiy1.8011117762WSep 3 · 13:00A. Derevianko1.6711881362M. Deineha2.105111111113WAug 27 · 19:00M. Deineha2.501212113A. Zozulia1.50101090LAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 15:00A. Derevianko1.83111011113M. Deineha1.83712991LAug 27 · 14:00M. Deineha1.9151181232O. Strutinskiy1.801191110113WAug 27 · 13:00V. Maksuta1.8381110101M. Deineha1.8311612123
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