TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12367324
Played Aug 6Finished
Oleksii Nadporozhskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210911114411911
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:34 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Holoborodko to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Nadporozhskyi above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Yevhenii Holoborodko at 66.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Nadporozhskyi 0–1 Yevhenii Holoborodko Oleksii Nadporozhskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Holoborodko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Nadporozhskyi 1354 vs Holoborodko 1601
Holoborodko
Correct
both rated, 247 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nadporozhskyi 40% vs Holoborodko 60%
Holoborodko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nadporozhskyi 20% vs Holoborodko 40%
Holoborodko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nadporozhskyi +1 · Holoborodko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holoborodko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nadporozhskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNadporozhskyi 1.83 / Holoborodko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holoborodko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12367324
Nadporozhskyi1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Holoborodko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNadporozhskyi0wins
AwayHoloborodko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHoloborodko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNadporozhskyiHoloborodkoN − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.047.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNadporozhskyiHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 186 vs 270 / 51031.2%52.9%58 / 186 vs 270 / 510Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoNadporozhskyi 1.83/Holoborodko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 6 · 13:40O. Nadporozhskyi—12911492Y. Holoborodko—1011411113
O. Nadporozhskyi10
WSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091LSep 3 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn2.2081111113O. Nadporozhskyi1.61116221WSep 3 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.6111951282O. Nadporozhskyi2.204111110113LSep 3 · 12:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.836111181D. Habrelyan1.8311613113WSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WAug 6 · 16:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.911111123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8078100LAug 6 · 15:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.007990M. Deineha1.731111113WAug 6 · 12:10O. Nadporozhskyi1.6712911113Y. Kovshun2.101011591LAug 6 · 10:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.67711241R. Sopivnyk2.1011811113LApr 9 · 17:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.2587110A. Derevianko1.571111133
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091
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