TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067597
Played Sep 3Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811116112112––
Oleksii Nadporozhskyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:20 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOleksii Nadporozhskyi to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Oleksii Nadporozhskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 62 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Oleksii Nadporozhskyi at 57.7%
62 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:20What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Nadporozhskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1688 vs Nadporozhskyi 1408
Kuzyshyn
Correct
both rated, 280 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 80% vs Nadporozhskyi 60%
Kuzyshyn
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 80% vs Nadporozhskyi 40%
Kuzyshyn
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn +1 · Nadporozhskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Nadporozhskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzyshyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 2.20 / Nadporozhskyi 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Nadporozhskyi)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067597
Kuzyshyn2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog46% won 37 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Nadporozhskyi1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynNadporozhskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 432 vs 47 / 14552.6%32.4%227 / 432 vs 47 / 145Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadporozhskyiKuzyshyn 2.20/Nadporozhskyi 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Nadporozhskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzyshyn won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101LSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113WSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.571111113O. Varlamov2.259560LSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113
O. Nadporozhskyi10
WSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091WSep 3 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.6111951282O. Nadporozhskyi2.204111110113LSep 3 · 12:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.836111181D. Habrelyan1.8311613113WSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WAug 6 · 16:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.911111123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8078100LAug 6 · 15:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.007990M. Deineha1.731111113LAug 6 · 13:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.8312911492Y. Holoborodko1.831011411113WAug 6 · 12:10O. Nadporozhskyi1.6712911113Y. Kovshun2.101011591LAug 6 · 10:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.67711241R. Sopivnyk2.1011811113LApr 9 · 17:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.2587110A. Derevianko1.571111133
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