TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094579
Played Sep 8Finished
Yurii Volkov
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
121410121210811––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Holoborodko to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 89 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Yevhenii Holoborodko at 55.3%
89 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 3–8 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yurii Volkov has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:43What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Holoborodko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Holoborodko
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1664 vs Holoborodko 1553
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Holoborodko 40%
Volkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 50% vs Holoborodko 30%
Volkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +1 · Holoborodko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holoborodko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 2.00 / Holoborodko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holoborodko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13094579
Volkov2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 54 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back29% 16 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Holoborodko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite54% won 120 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it68% 75 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov3wins
AwayHoloborodko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHoloborodko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov33.3%1 of 3
AwayHoloborodko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov3Holoborodko7n = 10Holoborodko took 7 of 10
S2Volkov3Holoborodko7n = 10Holoborodko took 7 of 10
S3Volkov3Holoborodko7n = 10Holoborodko took 7 of 10
S4Volkov2Holoborodko4n = 6Holoborodko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovHoloborodkoV − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.739.0−7.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime416 / 778 vs 316 / 60853.5%52%416 / 778 vs 316 / 608Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoVolkov 2.00/Holoborodko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 06:00Y. Volkov—12101281Y. Holoborodko—141210113
LAug 27 · 14:10Y. Volkov—1164111Y. Holoborodko—91111133
LAug 20 · 10:00Y. Volkov—710100Y. Holoborodko—1112123
WJul 17 · 05:00Y. Volkov—211611113Y. Holoborodko—11511972
LJan 12 · 07:35Y. Volkov—451141Y. Holoborodko—11118113
LDec 30 · 10:05Y. Volkov—4740Y. Holoborodko—1111113
LDec 29 · 10:00Y. Volkov—147351Y. Holoborodko—121111113
WDec 26 · 05:30Y. Volkov—1111113Y. Holoborodko—5950
WDec 21 · 10:05Y. Volkov—5111113113Y. Holoborodko—117131182
LDec 19 · 06:35Y. Volkov—8780Y. Holoborodko—1111113
Y. Volkov10
WSep 8 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.401711143O. Karpenko2.75154120LSep 5 · 11:19I. Efimenko1.8511116113Y. Volkov1.85881191WSep 5 · 10:19A. Kotiash3.259115101Y. Volkov1.3311211123WSep 5 · 08:48Y. Volkov1.731113113Y. Kovshun2.0081170LSep 5 · 07:18Y. Volkov1.67811751I. Efimenko2.1011611113WSep 5 · 05:48Y. Volkov1.57512115113A. Troyan2.25111091152LSep 4 · 10:30Y. Volkov1.25741151A. Kotiash3.7511119113WSep 4 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.679111111113Y. Kovshun2.1011136912LSep 4 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.2011381192R. Sopivnyk1.61611114113LSep 4 · 06:00Y. Volkov1.6112811752A. Troyan2.201011811113
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 8 · 05:00D. Habrelyan1.571111123Y. Holoborodko2.2586100WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133LSep 5 · 14:10O. Varlamov1.80111142Y. Holoborodko1.919851WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113
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