TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094471
Played Sep 8Finished
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711114116––
Oleh Karpenko
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:06 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Holoborodko to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Holoborodko above · Oleh Karpenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Yevhenii Holoborodko at 68.1%
70 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Holoborodko 1–0 Oleh Karpenko Oleh Karpenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:06What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Holoborodko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Holoborodko 1543 vs Karpenko 1619
Karpenko
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holoborodko 60% vs Karpenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holoborodko 30% vs Karpenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holoborodko -1 · Karpenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Holoborodko) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karpenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoloborodko 1.36 / Karpenko 3.00
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Holoborodko)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13094471
Holoborodko1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 120 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it91% 50 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it68% 75 of 110
Karpenko3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 85 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back29% 27 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back20% 12 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHoloborodko1wins
AwayKarpenko0wins
Holoborodko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHoloborodkoKarpenkoH − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.019.0+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoloborodkoKarpenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 609 vs 356 / 68251.9%52.2%316 / 609 vs 356 / 682Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoHoloborodko 1.36/Karpenko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WDec 12 · 10:05Y. Holoborodko—1111113O. Karpenko—6670
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 8 · 08:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.91116115113Y. Holoborodko1.8091191172WSep 8 · 06:00Y. Volkov2.0012101281Y. Holoborodko1.73141210113LSep 8 · 05:00D. Habrelyan1.571111123Y. Holoborodko2.2586100WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.8311811113Y. Holoborodko1.83311941LSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960LSep 5 · 17:40O. Zhyrnov1.571111153Y. Holoborodko2.2586130LSep 5 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.8055110R. Sopivnyk1.911111133
O. Karpenko10
WSep 8 · 11:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.50814791O. Karpenko2.50111211113WSep 8 · 08:30D. Habrelyan1.44119911112O. Karpenko2.63811119133LSep 8 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.401711143O. Karpenko2.75154120WSep 4 · 11:00Y. Kovshun1.8051181182O. Karpenko1.91117116113LSep 4 · 10:00A. Troyan1.806121111113O. Karpenko1.9111146892WSep 4 · 08:30A. Kotiash2.00101050O. Karpenko1.731212113LSep 4 · 06:30R. Sopivnyk1.441311123O. Karpenko2.63118100WSep 4 · 04:30Y. Volkov1.3691211872O. Karpenko3.001110211113LSep 2 · 16:40O. Karpenko2.63123661Y. Bondarenko1.44101111113LSep 2 · 15:10O. Karpenko2.639690O. Zhyrnov1.441111113
Upcoming Matches
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O. Karpenko
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