TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108565
Played Sep 10Finished
Matej Holub
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118117––––
Martin Mastera
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:16 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Mastera to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Holub above · Martin Mastera below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 59 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Martin Mastera at 60.0%
59 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:16What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Mastera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Holub 1644 vs Mastera 1748
Mastera
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holub 40% vs Mastera 60%
Mastera
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holub 50% vs Mastera 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holub +2 · Mastera -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Mastera) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 2.38 / Mastera 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Mastera)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13108565
Holub2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 40 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Mastera1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 48 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it82% 37 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubMasteraBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 211 vs 168 / 33856.9%49.7%120 / 211 vs 168 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MasteraHolub 2.38/Mastera 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Mastera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Holub won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Holub10
LSep 10 · 17:40M. Holub2.256411101J. Ruzicka1.5711117123WSep 10 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.50118911102M. Holub2.50811119123WSep 10 · 14:35O. Polak1.506111081M. Holub2.5011412113LSep 10 · 13:10M. Holub2.00811111162R. Fitl1.73111398113LSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113LSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 7 · 13:14R. Vavricka2.1051161162M. Holub1.67118118113WSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482LSep 7 · 11:05M. Holub1.80961161R. Fitl1.9111118113
M. Mastera10
WSep 10 · 17:10O. Polak1.61812158102M. Mastera2.2011101311123LSep 10 · 15:35M. Mastera2.258101131O. Polak1.5711126113LSep 10 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.73911511113M. Mastera2.0011711972WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172LSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132WSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113
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