TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13109878
Played Sep 10Finished
Matej Holub
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111113119118611
Radek Fitl
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMatej Holub above · Radek Fitl below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 99 set 5, 6-11
99 points played in total.
H2H Matej Holub 9–10 Radek Fitl Matej Holub has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fitl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fitl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 2.00 / Fitl 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fitl)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13109878
Holub2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 40 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back32% 13 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Fitl1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 86 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it87% 45 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it81% 65 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolub5wins
AwayFitl5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolub50%3 of 6
AwayFitl50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub6Fitl4n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S2Holub4Fitl6n = 10Fitl took 6 of 10
S3Holub6Fitl4n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S4Holub3Fitl5n = 8Fitl took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolubFitlH − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.738.6−2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubFitlBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 208 vs 189 / 35456.7%53.4%118 / 208 vs 189 / 354Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlHolub 2.00/Fitl 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fitl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub—111198113R. Fitl—77111172
LSep 7 · 11:05M. Holub—961161R. Fitl—11118113
WAug 31 · 12:05M. Holub—61111153R. Fitl—1189131
LAug 26 · 12:35M. Holub—7740R. Fitl—1111113
LAug 20 · 10:35M. Holub—11211652R. Fitl—811611113
LAug 18 · 17:40M. Holub—137551R. Fitl—111111113
WAug 18 · 16:05M. Holub—11413113R. Fitl—6111181
WAug 11 · 16:05M. Holub—51111113R. Fitl—111981
LAug 6 · 17:44M. Holub—1110761R. Fitl—81211113
WAug 6 · 15:35M. Holub—1111163R. Fitl—88140
M. Holub10
LSep 10 · 12:05M. Holub1.7341113182J. Ruzicka2.001181111113LSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 7 · 13:14R. Vavricka2.1051161162M. Holub1.67118118113WSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482LSep 7 · 11:05M. Holub1.80961161R. Fitl1.9111118113LSep 7 · 10:05M. Holub1.73111011942R. Vavricka2.00912811113LSep 3 · 17:35T. Beran1.5512711133M. Holub2.3010119111LSep 3 · 17:34T. Beran1.5012711133M. Holub2.5010119111WSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113
R. Fitl10
WSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113LSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123LSep 10 · 10:05M. Holub2.00111198113R. Fitl1.7377111172WSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970WSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:35T. Krcil2.63611521R. Fitl1.4411611113WSep 8 · 14:35R. Fitl1.4412119113D. Hons2.631091161WSep 8 · 13:34R. Fitl1.80114911113J. Lovl1.9161111672WSep 8 · 12:05R. Fitl1.8311711113J. Lovl1.83211871WSep 7 · 11:05M. Holub1.80961161R. Fitl1.9111118113
Upcoming Matches
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