TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106822
Played Sep 10Finished
Matej Holub
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111181311111811
Jan Ruzicka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:52 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMatej Holub to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Holub above · Jan Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 89 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Matej Holub at 57.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Matej Holub 5–6 Jan Ruzicka Matej Holub has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:52What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Holub
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holub 1633 vs Ruzicka 1659
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holub 60% vs Ruzicka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holub 50% vs Ruzicka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holub -1 · Ruzicka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Holub) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 1.73 / Ruzicka 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Holub)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13106822
Holub1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 44 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 30 of 39
Ruzicka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog56% won 58 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back31% 16 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolub5wins
AwayRuzicka5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolub100%4 of 4
AwayRuzicka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S2Holub4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S3Holub5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S4Holub2Ruzicka1n = 3Holub took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolubRuzickaH − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.833.8−2.0per matchSweeps34−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 207 vs 217 / 41857%51.9%118 / 207 vs 217 / 418Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubHolub 1.73/Ruzicka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 16:35M. Holub—1113113J. Ruzicka—71160
WAug 13 · 12:05M. Holub—1111113J. Ruzicka—6990
WAug 6 · 14:05M. Holub—1211113J. Ruzicka—10890
LAug 2 · 06:05M. Holub—7860J. Ruzicka—1111113
WAug 1 · 09:09M. Holub—111314113J. Ruzicka—8151281
LAug 1 · 08:05M. Holub—2960J. Ruzicka—1111113
LJul 26 · 06:35M. Holub—10770J. Ruzicka—1211113
LJun 27 · 13:35M. Holub—9970J. Ruzicka—1111113
WJun 27 · 12:05M. Holub—612911143J. Ruzicka—1110115122
LJun 26 · 16:05M. Holub—371171J. Ruzicka—11115113
M. Holub10
LSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 7 · 13:14R. Vavricka2.1051161162M. Holub1.67118118113WSep 7 · 12:05M. Holub1.839111111113R. Neterda1.8311713482LSep 7 · 11:05M. Holub1.80961161R. Fitl1.9111118113LSep 7 · 10:05M. Holub1.73111011942R. Vavricka2.00912811113LSep 3 · 17:35T. Beran1.5512711133M. Holub2.3010119111LSep 3 · 17:34T. Beran1.5012711133M. Holub2.5010119111WSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113WSep 3 · 15:35M. Holub2.20111111133T. Trnka1.611386111LSep 3 · 14:05T. Beran1.8391111113M. Holub1.83112861
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 10 · 11:35R. Fitl1.731358101J. Ruzicka2.00111111123LSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670LSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.91861111113J. Lovl1.8011116972LSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113
Upcoming Matches
M. Holub
J. Ruzicka
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.