TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070235
Played Sep 3Finished
Tomas Beran 2000
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911112118116––
Matej Holub
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 77.7% is still 77.7%
Graded at full timeMatej Holub to win
77.7%
77.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Beran 2000 above · Matej Holub below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 69 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Matej Holub at 77.7%
69 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Holub
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Beran 1578 vs Holub 1690
Holub
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Beran 0% vs Holub 80%
Holub
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Beran 20% vs Holub 90%
Holub
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Beran -5 · Holub +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holub) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBeran 1.83 / Holub 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Holub)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13070235
Beran1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Holub1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBeranHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 131 vs 113 / 19651.9%57.7%68 / 131 vs 113 / 196Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubBeran 1.83/Holub 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Beran won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Beran10
WSep 3 · 17:34T. Beran1.5012711133M. Holub2.5010119111LSep 3 · 16:05T. Beran2.206101111102T. Trnka1.61111299123WSep 3 · 15:05T. Beran1.7381112123J. Ruzicka2.0011810101LSep 1 · 17:15T. Trnka1.831111113T. Beran1.834990LSep 1 · 16:05T. Beran1.7311391172J. Joksch2.00611117113LSep 1 · 15:05T. Beran1.67101100T. Trnka2.101211123LSep 1 · 14:05T. Beran1.6177111292J. Ruzicka2.201111910113LAug 21 · 17:10M. Kucera2.001161110113T. Beran1.7381141262LAug 21 · 16:35T. Beran1.91115941M. Kucera1.8071111113WAug 21 · 15:05M. Mastera1.833680T. Beran1.831111113
M. Holub10
LSep 3 · 17:35T. Beran1.5512711133M. Holub2.3010119111LSep 3 · 17:34T. Beran1.5012711133M. Holub2.5010119111WSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113WSep 3 · 15:35M. Holub2.20111111133T. Trnka1.611386111WSep 1 · 13:50M. Holub1.691111113R. Pokorny1.978460WSep 1 · 12:05M. Holub1.731112113R. Pokorny2.0061030WSep 1 · 11:05M. Holub2.0051112133R. Neterda1.7311810111WSep 1 · 10:05M. Holub1.2011811113O. Pros4.33811851LAug 31 · 13:35M. Holub2.001111481P. Chvatal1.7313511113WAug 31 · 12:05M. Holub1.8361111153R. Fitl1.831189131
Upcoming Matches
T. Beran
Nothing scheduled
M. Holub
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