TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12469483
Played Aug 21Finished
Martin Mastera
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611811––––
Tomas Beran 2000
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Beran 2000 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Mastera above · Tomas Beran 2000 below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 50 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Tomas Beran 2000 at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Martin Mastera 3–12 Tomas Beran 2000 Martin Mastera has won 3 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Beran
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-12 in 15
Beran
Correct
gap of 9 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mastera 1716 vs Beran 1632
Mastera
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mastera 20% vs Beran 40%
Beran
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mastera 40% vs Beran 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mastera +1 · Beran -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Mastera) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Beran form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMastera 1.83 / Beran 1.83
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Mastera)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #12469483
Mastera1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Beran1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMastera2wins
AwayBeran8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBeran leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMastera66.7%2 of 3
AwayBeran100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mastera3Beran7n = 10Beran took 7 of 10
S2Mastera4Beran6n = 10Beran took 6 of 10
S3Mastera6Beran4n = 10Mastera took 6 of 10
S4Mastera5Beran3n = 8Mastera took 5 of 8
S5Mastera0Beran6n = 6Beran took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMasteraBeranM − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.443.0−3.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMasteraBeranBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 312 vs 68 / 12749.7%53.5%155 / 312 vs 68 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MasteraMastera 1.83/Beran 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Mastera · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Beran won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 15:05M. Mastera—3680T. Beran—1111113
LJul 29 · 16:35M. Mastera—91460T. Beran—1116113
WJul 23 · 16:35M. Mastera—11415113T. Beran—7111341
LJul 1 · 14:05M. Mastera—9111111102T. Beran—116813123
LJun 24 · 14:35M. Mastera—91181132T. Beran—116118113
LJun 3 · 17:20M. Mastera—85111172T. Beran—111157113
LJun 3 · 16:35M. Mastera—713117122T. Beran—1111411143
LApr 22 · 14:05M. Mastera—15111162T. Beran—111158113
WApr 1 · 15:35M. Mastera—111113113T. Beran—8131131
LMar 11 · 15:05M. Mastera—111141232T. Beran—681114113
M. Mastera10
WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172LSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132WSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113WSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442WAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113LAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.80111311113M. Mastera1.91415781
T. Beran10
WSep 3 · 17:34T. Beran1.5012711133M. Holub2.5010119111LSep 3 · 16:05T. Beran2.206101111102T. Trnka1.61111299123WSep 3 · 15:05T. Beran1.7381112123J. Ruzicka2.0011810101WSep 3 · 14:05T. Beran1.8391111113M. Holub1.83112861LSep 1 · 17:15T. Trnka1.831111113T. Beran1.834990LSep 1 · 16:05T. Beran1.7311391172J. Joksch2.00611117113LSep 1 · 15:05T. Beran1.67101100T. Trnka2.101211123LSep 1 · 14:05T. Beran1.6177111292J. Ruzicka2.201111910113LAug 21 · 17:10M. Kucera2.001161110113T. Beran1.7381141262LAug 21 · 16:35T. Beran1.91115941M. Kucera1.8071111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.