Jakub Ruzicka vs Martin Mastera 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13054099

Played Aug 31Finished

Jakub Ruzicka

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1210114911811611

Martin Mastera

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 3

How it is goingJakub Ruzicka above · Martin Mastera below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 8-11

Set 5 · 6-11

Point 93 set 5, 6-11

93 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Ruzicka 8–9 Martin Mastera Jakub Ruzicka has won 8 of their 17 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mastera form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRuzicka 1.67 / Mastera 2.10

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Ruzicka)+0.0pp

TT Cup · #13054099

Ruzicka1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite50% won 8 of 16

Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5

Up 1–0, closes it63% 5 of 8

Mastera2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog43% won 48 of 113

Down 0–1, comes back26% 20 of 77

Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeRuzicka6wins

AwayMastera4wins

2 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRuzicka100%6 of 6

AwayMastera100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Ruzicka6Mastera4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10

S2Ruzicka5Mastera5n = 10split evenly

S3Ruzicka5Mastera5n = 10split evenly

S4Ruzicka3Mastera1n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricRuzickaMasteraR − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.932.7+2.2per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRuzickaMasteraBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 110 vs 161 / 32739.1%49.2%43 / 110 vs 161 / 327Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Ruzicka

Ruzicka 1.67/Mastera 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.8%

Ruzicka · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Mastera won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka—111311113M. Mastera—415781

LAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka—10570M. Mastera—1211113

WAug 29 · 11:35J. Ruzicka—1112113M. Mastera—31050

WAug 28 · 15:35J. Ruzicka—1113113M. Mastera—91180

WAug 26 · 14:35J. Ruzicka—111174113M. Mastera—52111182

LAug 4 · 17:04J. Ruzicka—83111152M. Mastera—111158113

LAug 4 · 16:35J. Ruzicka—710100M. Mastera—1112123

WJul 14 · 14:35J. Ruzicka—11113113M. Mastera—571151

LJul 11 · 14:35J. Ruzicka—79130M. Mastera—1111153

WJul 9 · 16:35J. Ruzicka—1311143M. Mastera—117120

J. Ruzicka10

WSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik1.53117111182J. Ruzicka2.38611138113 LSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471 LSep 2 · 11:35J. Ruzicka2.2046100T. Bartik1.611111123 WSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113 WAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.80111311113M. Mastera1.91415781 WAug 31 · 15:05F. Karel1.4475111182J. Ruzicka2.63111196113 WAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113 LAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka1.5710570M. Mastera2.251211113 LAug 29 · 12:35M. Kucera1.611013811113J. Ruzicka2.20121111862 WAug 29 · 11:35J. Ruzicka1.801112113M. Mastera1.9131050

M. Mastera10

WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730 WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161 WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113 WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113 LSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172 LSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132 WSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113 LAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.80111311113M. Mastera1.91415781 WAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka1.5710570M. Mastera2.251211113 LAug 29 · 11:35J. Ruzicka1.801112113M. Mastera1.9131050

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