TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13053143
Played Aug 31Finished
Jakub Ruzicka
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141315117118––
Martin Mastera
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:16 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Mastera to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Ruzicka above · Martin Mastera below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Martin Mastera at 54.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Ruzicka 7–8 Martin Mastera Jakub Ruzicka has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:16What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1683 vs Mastera 1655
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 60% vs Mastera 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 50% vs Mastera 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +2 · Mastera +3
Mastera
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mastera) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.80 / Mastera 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mastera)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13053143
Ruzicka1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 8 of 16
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it63% 5 of 8
Mastera1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 48 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back26% 20 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka5wins
AwayMastera5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka83.3%5 of 6
AwayMastera100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka6Mastera4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S2Ruzicka5Mastera5n = 10split evenly
S3Ruzicka4Mastera6n = 10Mastera took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka3Mastera1n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4
S5Ruzicka1Mastera2n = 3Mastera took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaMasteraR − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.234.1+1.1per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaMasteraBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 109 vs 161 / 32638.5%49.4%42 / 109 vs 161 / 326Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MasteraRuzicka 1.80/Mastera 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mastera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 11:35J. Ruzicka—1112113M. Mastera—31050
WAug 28 · 15:35J. Ruzicka—1113113M. Mastera—91180
WAug 26 · 14:35J. Ruzicka—111174113M. Mastera—52111182
LAug 4 · 17:04J. Ruzicka—83111152M. Mastera—111158113
LAug 4 · 16:35J. Ruzicka—710100M. Mastera—1112123
WJul 14 · 14:35J. Ruzicka—11113113M. Mastera—571151
LJul 11 · 14:35J. Ruzicka—79130M. Mastera—1111153
WJul 9 · 16:35J. Ruzicka—1311143M. Mastera—117120
LJul 4 · 08:35J. Ruzicka—12680M. Mastera—1411113
LJul 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka—12941192M. Mastera—1011113113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik1.53117111182J. Ruzicka2.38611138113LSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:35J. Ruzicka2.2046100T. Bartik1.611111123WSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113LAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113WAug 31 · 15:05F. Karel1.4475111182J. Ruzicka2.63111196113WAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka1.5710570M. Mastera2.251211113LAug 29 · 12:35M. Kucera1.611013811113J. Ruzicka2.20121111862WAug 29 · 11:35J. Ruzicka1.801112113M. Mastera1.9131050
M. Mastera10
WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172LSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132WSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113WAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113WAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka1.5710570M. Mastera2.251211113LAug 29 · 11:35J. Ruzicka1.801112113M. Mastera1.9131050
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