TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063724
Played Sep 2Finished
Jakub Ruzicka
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4116111012––––
Tomas Bartik
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:13 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Bartik to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Ruzicka above · Tomas Bartik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 54 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Bartik at 63.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Ruzicka 2–8 Tomas Bartik Jakub Ruzicka has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Bartik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-8 in 10
Bartik
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1717 vs Bartik 1725
Bartik
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 80% vs Bartik 60%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 50% vs Bartik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +1 · Bartik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Bartik) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 2.20 / Bartik 1.61
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Bartik)+4.3pp
TT Cup · #13063724
Ruzicka2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Bartik1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 76 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it77% 58 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka2wins
AwayBartik8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBartik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka50%2 of 4
AwayBartik100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka4Bartik6n = 10Bartik took 6 of 10
S2Ruzicka2Bartik8n = 10Bartik took 8 of 10
S3Ruzicka3Bartik7n = 10Bartik took 7 of 10
S4Ruzicka0Bartik6n = 6Bartik took 6 of 6
S5Ruzicka2Bartik1n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaBartikR − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.441.6−6.2per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaBartikBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 112 vs 179 / 30239.3%59.3%44 / 112 vs 179 / 302Avg sets wonper match1.72.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartikRuzicka 2.20/Bartik 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Bartik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bartik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 19:05J. Ruzicka—9125151T. Bartik—111011163
WAug 9 · 07:05J. Ruzicka—1214412143T. Bartik—10121114122
LAug 4 · 14:05J. Ruzicka—119981T. Bartik—71111113
LAug 1 · 20:05J. Ruzicka—781191T. Bartik—11119113
LJul 14 · 19:05J. Ruzicka—7960T. Bartik—1111113
LJul 11 · 15:05J. Ruzicka—7770T. Bartik—1111113
WJul 10 · 14:05J. Ruzicka—119119113T. Bartik—71171182
LJun 29 · 18:35J. Ruzicka—127111132T. Bartik—1011613113
LJun 29 · 10:35J. Ruzicka—9880T. Bartik—1111113
LDec 28 · 11:35J. Ruzicka—8680T. Bartik—1111113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik1.53117111182J. Ruzicka2.38611138113LSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471WSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113LAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113WAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.80111311113M. Mastera1.91415781WAug 31 · 15:05F. Karel1.4475111182J. Ruzicka2.63111196113WAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka1.5710570M. Mastera2.251211113LAug 29 · 12:35M. Kucera1.611013811113J. Ruzicka2.20121111862WAug 29 · 11:35J. Ruzicka1.801112113M. Mastera1.9131050
T. Bartik10
LSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel1.91911761T. Bartik1.8011611113WSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113LSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik1.53117111182J. Ruzicka2.38611138113LSep 2 · 12:05F. Karel1.9113911113T. Bartik1.801111781LSep 2 · 10:35T. Bartik1.809112111D. Lengal1.9111711133WAug 22 · 21:34F. Karel1.807101121T. Bartik1.9111127113LAug 22 · 20:05T. Bartik1.808670F. Karel1.911111113WAug 22 · 19:05T. Bartik1.61111011163J. Ruzicka2.209125151
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