TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13065031
Played Sep 2Finished
Tomas Bartik
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1167111113118811
Jakub Ruzicka
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingTomas Bartik above · Jakub Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11
97 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Bartik 9–2 Jakub Ruzicka Jakub Ruzicka has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Bartik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartik form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartik 1.53 / Ruzicka 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Bartik)+4.3pp
TT Cup · #13065031
Bartik1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 76 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it77% 58 of 75
Ruzicka2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 29 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartik8wins
AwayRuzicka2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBartik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartik100%6 of 6
AwayRuzicka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartik6Ruzicka4n = 10Bartik took 6 of 10
S2Bartik8Ruzicka2n = 10Bartik took 8 of 10
S3Bartik7Ruzicka3n = 10Bartik took 7 of 10
S4Bartik6Ruzicka0n = 6Bartik took 6 of 6
S5Bartik1Ruzicka2n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartikRuzickaB − RBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.735.2+6.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartikRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 304 vs 44 / 11459.2%38.6%180 / 304 vs 44 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.135.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartikBartik 1.53/Ruzicka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.1%
Bartik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 11:35T. Bartik—1111123J. Ruzicka—46100
WAug 22 · 19:05T. Bartik—111011163J. Ruzicka—9125151
LAug 9 · 07:05T. Bartik—10121114122J. Ruzicka—1214412143
WAug 4 · 14:05T. Bartik—71111113J. Ruzicka—119981
WAug 1 · 20:05T. Bartik—11119113J. Ruzicka—781191
WJul 14 · 19:05T. Bartik—1111113J. Ruzicka—7960
WJul 11 · 15:05T. Bartik—1111113J. Ruzicka—7770
LJul 10 · 14:05T. Bartik—71171182J. Ruzicka—119119113
WJun 29 · 18:35T. Bartik—1011613113J. Ruzicka—127111132
WJun 29 · 10:35T. Bartik—1111113J. Ruzicka—9880
T. Bartik10
LSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel1.91911761T. Bartik1.8011611113WSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113LSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 2 · 12:05F. Karel1.9113911113T. Bartik1.801111781WSep 2 · 11:35J. Ruzicka2.2046100T. Bartik1.611111123LSep 2 · 10:35T. Bartik1.809112111D. Lengal1.9111711133WAug 22 · 21:34F. Karel1.807101121T. Bartik1.9111127113LAug 22 · 20:05T. Bartik1.808670F. Karel1.911111113WAug 22 · 19:05T. Bartik1.61111011163J. Ruzicka2.209125151
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:35J. Ruzicka2.2046100T. Bartik1.611111123WSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113LAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113WAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.80111311113M. Mastera1.91415781WAug 31 · 15:05F. Karel1.4475111182J. Ruzicka2.63111196113WAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka1.5710570M. Mastera2.251211113LAug 29 · 12:35M. Kucera1.611013811113J. Ruzicka2.20121111862LAug 22 · 19:05T. Bartik1.61111011163J. Ruzicka2.209125151
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