TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12475888
Played Aug 22Finished
Tomas Bartik
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11910121151615––
Jakub Ruzicka
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:16 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Bartik to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Bartik above · Jakub Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 16-15
Point 90 set 4, 16-15 — our read held Tomas Bartik at 63.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Bartik 7–2 Jakub Ruzicka Jakub Ruzicka has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:16What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Bartik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Bartik
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartik 1714 vs Ruzicka 1662
Bartik
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartik 60% vs Ruzicka 80%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartik 60% vs Ruzicka 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartik +1 · Ruzicka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Bartik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartik 1.61 / Ruzicka 2.20
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Bartik)+6.0pp
TT Cup · #12475888
Bartik1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it97% 37 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it78% 55 of 71
Ruzicka2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 23 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBartik7wins
AwayRuzicka2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderBartik leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartik100%5 of 5
AwayRuzicka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartik5Ruzicka4n = 9Bartik took 5 of 9
S2Bartik8Ruzicka1n = 9Bartik took 8 of 9
S3Bartik6Ruzicka3n = 9Bartik took 6 of 9
S4Bartik5Ruzicka0n = 5Bartik took 5 of 5
S5Bartik1Ruzicka2n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricBartikRuzickaB − RBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match40.934.8+6.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartikRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 298 vs 35 / 9259.4%38%177 / 298 vs 35 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartikBartik 1.61/Ruzicka 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Bartik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bartik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 9 · 07:05T. Bartik—10121114122J. Ruzicka—1214412143
WAug 4 · 14:05T. Bartik—71111113J. Ruzicka—119981
WAug 1 · 20:05T. Bartik—11119113J. Ruzicka—781191
WJul 14 · 19:05T. Bartik—1111113J. Ruzicka—7960
WJul 11 · 15:05T. Bartik—1111113J. Ruzicka—7770
LJul 10 · 14:05T. Bartik—71171182J. Ruzicka—119119113
WJun 29 · 18:35T. Bartik—1011613113J. Ruzicka—127111132
WJun 29 · 10:35T. Bartik—1111113J. Ruzicka—9880
WDec 28 · 11:35T. Bartik—1111113J. Ruzicka—8680
T. Bartik10
LSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel1.91911761T. Bartik1.8011611113WSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113LSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik1.53117111182J. Ruzicka2.38611138113LSep 2 · 12:05F. Karel1.9113911113T. Bartik1.801111781WSep 2 · 11:35J. Ruzicka2.2046100T. Bartik1.611111123LSep 2 · 10:35T. Bartik1.809112111D. Lengal1.9111711133WAug 22 · 21:34F. Karel1.807101121T. Bartik1.9111127113LAug 22 · 20:05T. Bartik1.808670F. Karel1.911111113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik1.53117111182J. Ruzicka2.38611138113LSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:35J. Ruzicka2.2046100T. Bartik1.611111123WSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113LAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113WAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.80111311113M. Mastera1.91415781WAug 31 · 15:05F. Karel1.4475111182J. Ruzicka2.63111196113WAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka1.5710570M. Mastera2.251211113LAug 29 · 12:35M. Kucera1.611013811113J. Ruzicka2.20121111862
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.