TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13038430
Played Aug 29Finished
Martin Kucera
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121311811118116
Jakub Ruzicka
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:18 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Kucera to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Kucera above · Jakub Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 101 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Martin Kucera at 58.9%
101 points played in total.
H2H Martin Kucera 5–2 Jakub Ruzicka Jakub Ruzicka has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kucera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Kucera
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucera 1680 vs Ruzicka 1654
Kucera
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucera 60% vs Ruzicka 40%
Kucera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucera 50% vs Ruzicka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucera +1 · Ruzicka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kucera) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucera 1.61 / Ruzicka 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kucera)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13038430
Kucera1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 17 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Ruzicka2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 27 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back11% 4 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKucera5wins
AwayRuzicka2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKucera leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucera100%3 of 3
AwayRuzicka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucera3Ruzicka4n = 7Ruzicka took 4 of 7
S2Kucera6Ruzicka1n = 7Kucera took 6 of 7
S3Kucera4Ruzicka3n = 7Kucera took 4 of 7
S4Kucera3Ruzicka2n = 5Kucera took 3 of 5
S5Kucera2Ruzicka1n = 3Kucera took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKuceraRuzickaK − RBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match42.134.7+7.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuceraRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 126 vs 40 / 10754.8%37.4%69 / 126 vs 40 / 107Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.935.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuceraKucera 1.61/Ruzicka 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Kucera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kucera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 29 · 12:35M. Kucera—1013811113J. Ruzicka—121111862
WAug 28 · 16:35M. Kucera—1111113J. Ruzicka—4480
WAug 1 · 18:05M. Kucera—151111123J. Ruzicka—13213101
WJul 10 · 17:10M. Kucera—1111113J. Ruzicka—7240
LJul 10 · 15:35M. Kucera—791161J. Ruzicka—11113113
LJun 20 · 07:05M. Kucera—81511992J. Ruzicka—1113911113
WApr 25 · 11:35M. Kucera—411511113J. Ruzicka—11511462
M. Kucera10
WSep 5 · 09:10M. Kucera1.401111113T. Trnka2.758770WSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132LSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113WSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781WAug 31 · 17:09F. Karel1.611113971M. Kucera2.2091511113LAug 31 · 16:05F. Karel1.7311611113M. Kucera2.00911781LAug 31 · 15:35M. Mastera2.2581111113M. Kucera1.57115981LAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113WAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik1.53117111182J. Ruzicka2.38611138113LSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:35J. Ruzicka2.2046100T. Bartik1.611111123WSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113LAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113WAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.80111311113M. Mastera1.91415781WAug 31 · 15:05F. Karel1.4475111182J. Ruzicka2.63111196113WAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:18J. Ruzicka1.5710570M. Mastera2.251211113WAug 29 · 11:35J. Ruzicka1.801112113M. Mastera1.9131050
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