TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081795
Played Sep 5Finished
Martin Kucera
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Tomas Trnka
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMartin Kucera above · Tomas Trnka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7
55 points played in total.
H2H Martin Kucera 1–0 Tomas Trnka Tomas Trnka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kucera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucera form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucera 1.40 / Trnka 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Kucera)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13081795
Kucera1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite47% won 18 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Trnka2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 22 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKucera1wins
AwayTrnka0wins
Kucera leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKuceraTrnkaK − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.035.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuceraTrnkaBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 133 vs 138 / 26054.1%53.1%72 / 133 vs 138 / 260Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuceraKucera 1.40/Trnka 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Kucera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kucera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera—91111113T. Trnka—119781
M. Kucera10
WSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132LSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113WSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781WAug 31 · 17:09F. Karel1.611113971M. Kucera2.2091511113LAug 31 · 16:05F. Karel1.7311611113M. Kucera2.00911781LAug 31 · 15:35M. Mastera2.2581111113M. Kucera1.57115981LAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113WAug 29 · 12:35M. Kucera1.611013811113J. Ruzicka2.20121111862WAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113
T. Trnka10
LSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143LSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161LSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113WSep 6 · 14:05F. Karel1.44791191T. Trnka2.6311114113LSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970LSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113LSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781WSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162WSep 3 · 16:05T. Beran2.206101111102T. Trnka1.61111299123LSep 3 · 15:35M. Holub2.20111111133T. Trnka1.611386111
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