Tomas Trnka vs Jan Ruzicka 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13072517

Played Sep 3Finished

Tomas Trnka

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

211119117411116

Jan Ruzicka

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingTomas Trnka above · Jan Ruzicka below

Set 1 · 2-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 4-11

Set 5 · 11-6

Point 83 set 5, 11-6

83 points played in total.

H2H Tomas Trnka 7–11 Jan Ruzicka Tomas Trnka has won 7 of their 18 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Ruzicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsTrnka 2.00 / Ruzicka 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 55%

Edge (Ruzicka)+0.8pp

TT Cup · #13072517

Trnka2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog39% won 20 of 52

Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31

Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17

Ruzicka1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite58% won 82 of 141

Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48

Up 1–0, closes it86% 67 of 78

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeTrnka3wins

AwayRuzicka7wins

4 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeTrnka60%3 of 5

AwayRuzicka100%5 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Trnka5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly

S2Trnka3Ruzicka7n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10

S3Trnka1Ruzicka9n = 10Ruzicka took 9 of 10

S4Trnka4Ruzicka5n = 9Ruzicka took 5 of 9

S5Trnka3Ruzicka1n = 4Trnka took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away550%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricTrnkaRuzickaT − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.343.4−4.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricTrnkaRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 256 vs 211 / 40753.5%51.8%137 / 256 vs 211 / 407Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Ruzicka

Trnka 2.00/Ruzicka 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.5%

Ruzicka · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Trnka won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 3 · 14:35T. Trnka—118911113J. Ruzicka—71111592

LSep 1 · 16:35T. Trnka—981171J. Ruzicka—11119113

LJul 26 · 08:05T. Trnka—10740J. Ruzicka—1211113

LJul 25 · 07:05T. Trnka—911831J. Ruzicka—11611113

LJun 27 · 10:35T. Trnka—5111071J. Ruzicka—11612113

LJun 26 · 15:05T. Trnka—1168101J. Ruzicka—81111123

WJun 20 · 10:35T. Trnka—119411113J. Ruzicka—61111992

LJun 9 · 15:05T. Trnka—11551192J. Ruzicka—911118113

WMay 12 · 16:05T. Trnka—1281412113J. Ruzicka—1011161032

LApr 28 · 16:05T. Trnka—121210101J. Ruzicka—141012123

T. Trnka10

LSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143 LSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161 LSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113 WSep 6 · 14:05F. Karel1.44791191T. Trnka2.6311114113 LSep 5 · 09:10M. Kucera1.401111113T. Trnka2.758770 LSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970 LSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113 LSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781 WSep 3 · 16:05T. Beran2.206101111102T. Trnka1.61111299123 LSep 3 · 15:35M. Holub2.20111111133T. Trnka1.611386111

J. Ruzicka10

WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472 LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143 WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101 WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670 LSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791 LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153 WSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.91861111113J. Lovl1.8011116972 WSep 5 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.6191411113J. Martin2.201112541 LSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113 LSep 3 · 15:05T. Beran1.7381112123J. Ruzicka2.0011810101

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