TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082852
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Lovl
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117711117119––
Jan Ruzicka
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Lovl above · Jan Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Lovl 16–14 Jan Ruzicka Jan Ruzicka has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lovl)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLovl 1.67 / Ruzicka 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruzicka)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13082852
Lovl1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 62 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it77% 50 of 65
Ruzicka2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog55% won 56 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLovl3wins
AwayRuzicka7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLovl20%1 of 5
AwayRuzicka60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lovl5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S2Lovl5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S3Lovl3Ruzicka7n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S4Lovl4Ruzicka5n = 9Ruzicka took 5 of 9
S5Lovl1Ruzicka3n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLovlRuzickaL − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.541.3−3.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLovlRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 320 vs 214 / 41151.6%52.1%165 / 320 vs 214 / 411Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaLovl 1.67/Ruzicka 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lovl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lovl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 11:05J. Lovl—11116972J. Ruzicka—861111113
LAug 30 · 10:05J. Lovl—113691J. Ruzicka—51111113
LAug 22 · 06:35J. Lovl—611941J. Ruzicka—11611113
LAug 15 · 15:05J. Lovl—5780J. Ruzicka—1111113
LAug 9 · 21:40J. Lovl—11921132J. Ruzicka—811117113
LAug 9 · 20:05J. Lovl—114791J. Ruzicka—61111113
WJul 30 · 14:35J. Lovl—6111113133J. Ruzicka—1113911112
WJul 21 · 17:38J. Lovl—71111113J. Ruzicka—119441
LJul 21 · 15:35J. Lovl—91111932J. Ruzicka—119611113
WJun 30 · 15:05J. Lovl—121114113J. Ruzicka—1041681
J. Lovl10
LSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472WSep 6 · 08:35J. Lovl1.441111113J. Martin2.639550LSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:35M. Flesar3.255980J. Lovl1.331111113WSep 5 · 12:35J. Lovl1.9191111113J. Martin1.80115681LSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.91861111113J. Lovl1.8011116972WSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113LAug 30 · 13:15R. Pokorny1.1711115113J. Lovl4.50571161WAug 30 · 12:35R. Neterda2.00791112132J. Lovl1.731111710153LAug 30 · 11:35J. Lovl2.636760R. Pokorny1.441111113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.91861111113J. Lovl1.8011116972WSep 5 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.6191411113J. Martin2.201112541LSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162LSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113LSep 3 · 15:05T. Beran1.7381112123J. Ruzicka2.0011810101
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