TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080364
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Ruzicka
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811611116119117
Jan Lovl
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Ruzicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Ruzicka above · Jan Lovl below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jan Ruzicka at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jan Ruzicka 13–16 Jan Lovl Jan Ruzicka has won 13 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:20What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lovl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-16 in 29
Lovl
Wrong
gap of 3 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1627 vs Lovl 1526
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 20% vs Lovl 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 40% vs Lovl 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +1 · Lovl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lovl form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.91 / Lovl 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruzicka)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13080364
Ruzicka1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 56 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Lovl1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 62 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it77% 50 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka6wins
AwayLovl4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka60%3 of 5
AwayLovl40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka5Lovl5n = 10split evenly
S2Ruzicka5Lovl5n = 10split evenly
S3Ruzicka7Lovl3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S4Ruzicka4Lovl5n = 9Lovl took 5 of 9
S5Ruzicka2Lovl1n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaLovlR − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.037.1+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaLovlBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 409 vs 163 / 31751.8%51.4%212 / 409 vs 163 / 317Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.91/Lovl 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 10:05J. Ruzicka—51111113J. Lovl—113691
WAug 22 · 06:35J. Ruzicka—11611113J. Lovl—611941
WAug 15 · 15:05J. Ruzicka—1111113J. Lovl—5780
WAug 9 · 21:40J. Ruzicka—811117113J. Lovl—11921132
WAug 9 · 20:05J. Ruzicka—61111113J. Lovl—114791
LJul 30 · 14:35J. Ruzicka—1113911112J. Lovl—6111113133
LJul 21 · 17:38J. Ruzicka—119441J. Lovl—71111113
WJul 21 · 15:35J. Ruzicka—119611113J. Lovl—91111932
LJun 30 · 15:05J. Ruzicka—1041681J. Lovl—121114113
LJun 27 · 06:35J. Ruzicka—5811101J. Lovl—11116123
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670LSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.6191411113J. Martin2.201112541LSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162LSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113LSep 3 · 15:05T. Beran1.7381112123J. Ruzicka2.0011810101
J. Lovl10
LSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472WSep 6 · 08:35J. Lovl1.441111113J. Martin2.639550LSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:35M. Flesar3.255980J. Lovl1.331111113WSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791WSep 5 · 12:35J. Lovl1.9191111113J. Martin1.80115681WSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113LAug 30 · 13:15R. Pokorny1.1711115113J. Lovl4.50571161WAug 30 · 12:35R. Neterda2.00791112132J. Lovl1.731111710153LAug 30 · 11:35J. Lovl2.636760R. Pokorny1.441111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.