Martin Kucera vs Dominik Lengal 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13042033

Played Aug 29Finished

Martin Kucera

Home

2.31

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

1113811119211––

Dominik Lengal

Away

1.55

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingMartin Kucera above · Dominik Lengal below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 2-11

Point 76 set 4, 2-11

76 points played in total.

H2H Martin Kucera 4–6 Dominik Lengal Martin Kucera has won 4 of their 10 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Lengal)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lengal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKucera 2.31 / Lengal 1.55

Signal prob.39% / 61%

Edge (Lengal)+1.2pp

TT Cup · #13042033

Kucera2.31

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog40% won 8 of 20

Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11

Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7

Lengal1.55

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite61% won 92 of 150

Up 2–0, closes it95% 55 of 58

Up 1–0, closes it86% 73 of 85

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKucera4wins

AwayLengal6wins

3 of 10 to a deciderLengal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKucera75%3 of 4

AwayLengal83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kucera4Lengal6n = 10Lengal took 6 of 10

S2Kucera4Lengal6n = 10Lengal took 6 of 10

S3Kucera3Lengal7n = 10Lengal took 7 of 10

S4Kucera4Lengal4n = 8split evenly

S5Kucera2Lengal1n = 3Kucera took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricKuceraLengalK − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.840.9−3.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKuceraLengalBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 126 vs 176 / 28654.8%61.5%69 / 126 vs 176 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Lengal

Kucera 2.31/Lengal 1.55

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

61%

Lengal · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Lengal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera—1181121D. Lengal—13119113

WAug 29 · 11:05M. Kucera—111177113D. Lengal—65111172

LAug 28 · 15:05M. Kucera—9950D. Lengal—1111113

WAug 1 · 20:35M. Kucera—11117143D. Lengal—9911121

LAug 1 · 15:35M. Kucera—10890D. Lengal—1211113

WMay 30 · 12:05M. Kucera—121212113D. Lengal—10101491

WMay 8 · 15:05M. Kucera—6101112113D. Lengal—111291072

LApr 3 · 12:05M. Kucera—1110561D. Lengal—51211113

LMar 2 · 17:05M. Kucera—51191462D. Lengal—1131112113

LFeb 27 · 15:35M. Kucera—761181D. Lengal—11115113

M. Kucera10

WSep 5 · 09:10M. Kucera1.401111113T. Trnka2.758770 WSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132 LSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113 WSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781 WAug 31 · 17:09F. Karel1.611113971M. Kucera2.2091511113 LAug 31 · 16:05F. Karel1.7311611113M. Kucera2.00911781 LAug 31 · 15:35M. Mastera2.2581111113M. Kucera1.57115981 LAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113 WAug 29 · 12:35M. Kucera1.611013811113J. Ruzicka2.20121111862 WAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113

D. Lengal10

LSep 2 · 13:39F. Karel1.6711116113D. Lengal2.10761171 WSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471 LSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel1.576111110113D. Lengal2.2511971232 WSep 2 · 10:35T. Bartik1.809112111D. Lengal1.9111711133 WAug 29 · 12:05D. Lengal1.331111113M. Mastera3.256950 LAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113 WAug 29 · 10:05D. Lengal1.40128117133J. Ruzicka2.751011511112 WAug 28 · 17:35J. Ruzicka2.254650D. Lengal1.571111113 WAug 28 · 16:05D. Lengal1.331111123M. Mastera3.2589100 WAug 28 · 15:05D. Lengal1.731111113M. Kucera2.009950

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