Filip Karel vs Dominik Lengal 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13065258

Played Sep 2Finished

Filip Karel

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

117116611117––

Dominik Lengal

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 4

How it is goingFilip Karel above · Dominik Lengal below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-7

Point 70 set 4, 11-7

70 points played in total.

H2H Filip Karel 13–13 Dominik Lengal Dead even across their 26 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Head to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Karel)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Lengal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKarel 1.67 / Lengal 2.10

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Karel)+0.4pp

TT Cup · #13065258

Karel1.67

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite56% won 41 of 73

Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18

Up 1–0, closes it70% 26 of 37

Lengal2.10

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As underdog55% won 11 of 20

Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeKarel7wins

AwayLengal3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderKarel leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKarel100%6 of 6

AwayLengal75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Karel6Lengal4n = 10Karel took 6 of 10

S2Karel5Lengal5n = 10split evenly

S3Karel8Lengal2n = 10Karel took 8 of 10

S4Karel3Lengal3n = 6split evenly

S5Karel2Lengal1n = 3Karel took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricKarelLengalK − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.232.5+4.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKarelLengalBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 183 vs 178 / 28956.8%61.6%104 / 183 vs 178 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.438.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Karel

Karel 1.67/Lengal 2.10

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

56.2%

Karel · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Karel won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel—6111110113D. Lengal—11971232

WAug 19 · 13:33F. Karel—1112113D. Lengal—71080

WAug 19 · 12:05F. Karel—1191111113D. Lengal—81161362

WAug 9 · 10:05F. Karel—1111113D. Lengal—4380

WAug 8 · 20:05F. Karel—1111113D. Lengal—8380

LAug 8 · 16:05F. Karel—9580D. Lengal—1111113

WAug 5 · 17:50F. Karel—11111113D. Lengal—851151

WAug 5 · 14:35F. Karel—11811133D. Lengal—4115111

LAug 2 · 18:35F. Karel—6101181D. Lengal—11129113

LJul 29 · 16:05F. Karel—38111132D. Lengal—111129113

F. Karel10

WSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143 LSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel1.91911761T. Bartik1.8011611113 LSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113 LSep 6 · 14:05F. Karel1.44791191T. Trnka2.6311114113 WSep 2 · 12:05F. Karel1.9113911113T. Bartik1.801111781 WSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel1.576111110113D. Lengal2.2511971232 LSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113 LAug 31 · 17:09F. Karel1.611113971M. Kucera2.2091511113 WAug 31 · 16:05F. Karel1.7311611113M. Kucera2.00911781 LAug 31 · 15:05F. Karel1.4475111182J. Ruzicka2.63111196113

D. Lengal10

WSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471 LSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel1.576111110113D. Lengal2.2511971232 WSep 2 · 10:35T. Bartik1.809112111D. Lengal1.9111711133 WAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113 WAug 29 · 12:05D. Lengal1.331111113M. Mastera3.256950 LAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113 WAug 29 · 10:05D. Lengal1.40128117133J. Ruzicka2.751011511112 WAug 28 · 17:35J. Ruzicka2.254650D. Lengal1.571111113 WAug 28 · 16:05D. Lengal1.331111123M. Mastera3.2589100 WAug 28 · 15:05D. Lengal1.731111113M. Kucera2.009950

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