TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13034579
Played Aug 28Finished
Dominik Lengal
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181191210––––
Martin Mastera
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeDominik Lengal to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Lengal above · Martin Mastera below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 61 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Dominik Lengal at 73.3%
61 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Lengal 27–10 Martin Mastera Martin Mastera has won 10 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:40What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Lengal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-10 in 37
Lengal
Correct
gap of 17 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lengal 1787 vs Mastera 1688
Lengal
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lengal 60% vs Mastera 40%
Lengal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lengal 60% vs Mastera 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lengal +1 · Mastera -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Lengal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lengal form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLengal 1.33 / Mastera 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Lengal)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13034579
Lengal1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 89 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it85% 70 of 82
Mastera3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 46 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLengal7wins
AwayMastera3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLengal leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLengal100%6 of 6
AwayMastera75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lengal6Mastera4n = 10Lengal took 6 of 10
S2Lengal5Mastera5n = 10split evenly
S3Lengal8Mastera2n = 10Lengal took 8 of 10
S4Lengal2Mastera2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLengalMasteraL − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.027.4+7.6per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLengalMasteraBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 280 vs 157 / 31861.1%49.4%171 / 280 vs 157 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LengalLengal 1.33/Mastera 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Lengal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lengal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 16:05D. Lengal—991381M. Mastera—111111113
LAug 8 · 21:38D. Lengal—8870M. Mastera—1111113
WAug 8 · 18:35D. Lengal—71111113M. Mastera—113261
WAug 8 · 14:35D. Lengal—1111113M. Mastera—7450
WAug 5 · 16:35D. Lengal—115119113M. Mastera—61171172
WAug 2 · 21:33D. Lengal—1111113M. Mastera—5660
LAug 2 · 20:35D. Lengal—61180M. Mastera—1113113
WAug 1 · 17:45D. Lengal—1311113M. Mastera—11530
WAug 1 · 14:35D. Lengal—1111113M. Mastera—6550
WJul 29 · 17:35D. Lengal—11911113M. Mastera—811741
D. Lengal10
LSep 2 · 13:39F. Karel1.6711116113D. Lengal2.10761171WSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel1.576111110113D. Lengal2.2511971232WSep 2 · 10:35T. Bartik1.809112111D. Lengal1.9111711133WAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113WAug 29 · 12:05D. Lengal1.331111113M. Mastera3.256950LAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113WAug 29 · 10:05D. Lengal1.40128117133J. Ruzicka2.751011511112WAug 28 · 17:35J. Ruzicka2.254650D. Lengal1.571111113WAug 28 · 15:05D. Lengal1.731111113M. Kucera2.009950
M. Mastera10
WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172LSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132WSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113WSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442WAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113LAug 29 · 12:05D. Lengal1.331111113M. Mastera3.256950
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