TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13034875
Played Aug 28Finished
Dominik Lengal
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119115––––
Martin Kucera
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDominik Lengal to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Lengal above · Martin Kucera below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 56 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Dominik Lengal at 54.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Lengal 4–3 Martin Kucera Martin Kucera has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:30What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lengal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lengal 1778 vs Kucera 1650
Lengal
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lengal 60% vs Kucera 40%
Lengal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lengal 60% vs Kucera 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lengal -1 · Kucera -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lengal)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLengal 1.73 / Kucera 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lengal)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13034875
Lengal1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 89 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it85% 70 of 82
Kucera2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 7 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLengal4wins
AwayKucera3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderLengal leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLengal75%3 of 4
AwayKucera66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lengal4Kucera3n = 7Lengal took 4 of 7
S2Lengal4Kucera3n = 7Lengal took 4 of 7
S3Lengal5Kucera2n = 7Lengal took 5 of 7
S4Lengal2Kucera4n = 6Kucera took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricLengalKuceraL − KBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match41.739.4+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLengalKuceraBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 279 vs 65 / 11960.9%54.6%170 / 279 vs 65 / 119Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LengalLengal 1.73/Kucera 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Lengal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lengal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 1 · 20:35D. Lengal—9911121M. Kucera—11117143
WAug 1 · 15:35D. Lengal—1211113M. Kucera—10890
LMay 30 · 12:05D. Lengal—10101491M. Kucera—121212113
LMay 8 · 15:05D. Lengal—111291072M. Kucera—6101112113
WApr 3 · 12:05D. Lengal—51211113M. Kucera—1110561
WMar 2 · 17:05D. Lengal—1131112113M. Kucera—51191462
WFeb 27 · 15:35D. Lengal—11115113M. Kucera—761181
D. Lengal10
LSep 2 · 13:39F. Karel1.6711116113D. Lengal2.10761171WSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel1.576111110113D. Lengal2.2511971232WSep 2 · 10:35T. Bartik1.809112111D. Lengal1.9111711133WAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113WAug 29 · 12:05D. Lengal1.331111113M. Mastera3.256950LAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113WAug 29 · 10:05D. Lengal1.40128117133J. Ruzicka2.751011511112WAug 28 · 17:35J. Ruzicka2.254650D. Lengal1.571111113WAug 28 · 16:05D. Lengal1.331111123M. Mastera3.2589100
M. Kucera10
WSep 5 · 09:10M. Kucera1.401111113T. Trnka2.758770WSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132LSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113WSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781WAug 31 · 17:09F. Karel1.611113971M. Kucera2.2091511113LAug 31 · 16:05F. Karel1.7311611113M. Kucera2.00911781LAug 31 · 15:35M. Mastera2.2581111113M. Kucera1.57115981LAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113WAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113
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