TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13038329
Played Aug 29Finished
Dominik Lengal
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119115––––
Martin Mastera
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:47 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeDominik Lengal to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Lengal above · Martin Mastera below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Dominik Lengal at 75.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Lengal 29–10 Martin Mastera Martin Mastera has won 10 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:47What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Lengal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-10 in 39
Lengal
Correct
gap of 19 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lengal 1819 vs Mastera 1627
Lengal
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lengal 80% vs Mastera 20%
Lengal
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lengal 70% vs Mastera 30%
Lengal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lengal -1 · Mastera -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Lengal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mastera form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLengal 1.33 / Mastera 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Lengal)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13038329
Lengal1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 92 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it95% 55 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it86% 73 of 85
Mastera3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 47 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back26% 20 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLengal7wins
AwayMastera3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLengal leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLengal100%6 of 6
AwayMastera75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lengal6Mastera4n = 10Lengal took 6 of 10
S2Lengal6Mastera4n = 10Lengal took 6 of 10
S3Lengal8Mastera2n = 10Lengal took 8 of 10
S4Lengal1Mastera2n = 3Mastera took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLengalMasteraL − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.227.5+6.7per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLengalMasteraBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 286 vs 159 / 32461.5%49.1%176 / 286 vs 159 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LengalLengal 1.33/Mastera 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Lengal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lengal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 12:05D. Lengal—1111113M. Mastera—6950
WAug 28 · 16:05D. Lengal—1111123M. Mastera—89100
LAug 26 · 16:05D. Lengal—991381M. Mastera—111111113
LAug 8 · 21:38D. Lengal—8870M. Mastera—1111113
WAug 8 · 18:35D. Lengal—71111113M. Mastera—113261
WAug 8 · 14:35D. Lengal—1111113M. Mastera—7450
WAug 5 · 16:35D. Lengal—115119113M. Mastera—61171172
WAug 2 · 21:33D. Lengal—1111113M. Mastera—5660
LAug 2 · 20:35D. Lengal—61180M. Mastera—1113113
WAug 1 · 17:45D. Lengal—1311113M. Mastera—11530
D. Lengal10
LSep 2 · 13:39F. Karel1.6711116113D. Lengal2.10761171WSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel1.576111110113D. Lengal2.2511971232WSep 2 · 10:35T. Bartik1.809112111D. Lengal1.9111711133WAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113LAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113WAug 29 · 10:05D. Lengal1.40128117133J. Ruzicka2.751011511112WAug 28 · 17:35J. Ruzicka2.254650D. Lengal1.571111113WAug 28 · 16:05D. Lengal1.331111123M. Mastera3.2589100WAug 28 · 15:05D. Lengal1.731111113M. Kucera2.009950
M. Mastera10
WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172LSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132WSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113WSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442WAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113LAug 28 · 16:05D. Lengal1.331111123M. Mastera3.2589100
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