TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080382
Played Sep 5Finished
Martin Kucera
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911119116811113
Martin Mastera
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:22 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Kucera to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Kucera above · Martin Mastera below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 90 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Martin Kucera at 57.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Martin Kucera 21–13 Martin Mastera Martin Mastera has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:22What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kucera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-13 in 34
Kucera
Correct
gap of 8 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucera 1650 vs Mastera 1665
Mastera
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucera 40% vs Mastera 80%
Mastera
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucera 40% vs Mastera 70%
Mastera
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucera -1 · Mastera +3
Mastera
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kucera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mastera form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucera 1.57 / Mastera 2.25
Signal prob.58% / 43%
Edge (Kucera)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13080382
Kucera1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite47% won 18 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it67% 12 of 18
Mastera2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 51 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back28% 22 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKucera4wins
AwayMastera6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMastera leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucera60%3 of 5
AwayMastera80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucera5Mastera5n = 10split evenly
S2Kucera5Mastera5n = 10split evenly
S3Kucera3Mastera7n = 10Mastera took 7 of 10
S4Kucera5Mastera4n = 9Kucera took 5 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuceraMasteraK − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.50.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuceraMasteraBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 132 vs 164 / 33053.8%49.7%71 / 132 vs 164 / 330Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuceraKucera 1.57/Mastera 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.5%
Kucera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kucera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 15:35M. Kucera—115981M. Mastera—81111113
LAug 29 · 10:35M. Kucera—1111681M. Mastera—13611113
WAug 28 · 17:05M. Kucera—81113113M. Mastera—1171161
LAug 28 · 14:35M. Kucera—9880M. Mastera—1111113
LAug 21 · 14:05M. Kucera—1298111M. Mastera—101111133
WAug 1 · 16:35M. Kucera—121111113M. Mastera—1031391
LJul 20 · 17:03M. Kucera—89111192M. Mastera—111188113
WJul 20 · 14:35M. Kucera—11118123M. Mastera—5811101
LJul 11 · 19:05M. Kucera—8111091M. Mastera—11912113
WJun 20 · 09:10M. Kucera—11812143M. Mastera—61110121
M. Kucera10
WSep 5 · 09:10M. Kucera1.401111113T. Trnka2.758770LSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113WSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781WAug 31 · 17:09F. Karel1.611113971M. Kucera2.2091511113LAug 31 · 16:05F. Karel1.7311611113M. Kucera2.00911781LAug 31 · 15:35M. Mastera2.2581111113M. Kucera1.57115981LAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113WAug 29 · 12:35M. Kucera1.611013811113J. Ruzicka2.20121111862WAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113
M. Mastera10
WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172WSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113WSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442WAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113LAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.80111311113M. Mastera1.91415781WAug 31 · 15:35M. Mastera2.2581111113M. Kucera1.57115981
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