TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13053906
Played Aug 31Finished
Filip Karel
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191315911711––
Martin Kucera
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingFilip Karel above · Martin Kucera below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 86 set 4, 7-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Filip Karel 3–3 Martin Kucera Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Karel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucera form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarel 1.61 / Kucera 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Karel)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13053906
Karel1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 40 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it71% 25 of 35
Kucera2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 8 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKarel3wins
AwayKucera3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKarel75%3 of 4
AwayKuceran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Karel4Kucera2n = 6Karel took 4 of 6
S2Karel2Kucera4n = 6Kucera took 4 of 6
S3Karel3Kucera3n = 6split evenly
S4Karel4Kucera1n = 5Karel took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricKarelKuceraKarel − KuceraBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match39.037.7+1.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarelKuceraBasisWin rate · lifetime102 / 179 vs 69 / 12957%53.5%102 / 179 vs 69 / 129Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KarelKarel 1.61/Kucera 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Karel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kucera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 31 · 16:05F. Karel—11611113M. Kucera—911781
WJul 20 · 15:05F. Karel—111112123M. Kucera—8314101
WMay 23 · 19:05F. Karel—11611113M. Kucera—411741
LMay 16 · 10:05F. Karel—1111108102M. Kucera—851211123
LApr 11 · 15:05F. Karel—10490M. Kucera—1211113
LMar 1 · 11:35F. Karel—34111182M. Kucera—111169113
F. Karel10
WSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143LSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel1.91911761T. Bartik1.8011611113LSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113LSep 6 · 14:05F. Karel1.44791191T. Trnka2.6311114113WSep 2 · 13:39F. Karel1.6711116113D. Lengal2.10761171WSep 2 · 12:05F. Karel1.9113911113T. Bartik1.801111781WSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel1.576111110113D. Lengal2.2511971232LSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113WAug 31 · 16:05F. Karel1.7311611113M. Kucera2.00911781LAug 31 · 15:05F. Karel1.4475111182J. Ruzicka2.63111196113
M. Kucera10
WSep 5 · 09:10M. Kucera1.401111113T. Trnka2.758770WSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132LSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113WSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781LAug 31 · 16:05F. Karel1.7311611113M. Kucera2.00911781LAug 31 · 15:35M. Mastera2.2581111113M. Kucera1.57115981LAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113WAug 29 · 12:35M. Kucera1.611013811113J. Ruzicka2.20121111862WAug 29 · 11:05D. Lengal1.7365111172M. Kucera2.00111177113
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