Jakub Joksch vs Martin Mastera 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13081794

Played Sep 5Finished

Jakub Joksch

Home

1.78

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

11910121210911117

Martin Mastera

Away

1.93

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jakub Joksch to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

no pick shipped

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingJakub Joksch above · Martin Mastera below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 9-11

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 102 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Joksch at 54.0%

102 points played in total.

H2H Jakub Joksch 7–7 Martin Mastera Dead even across their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Head to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 09:10

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.78 (52%)

Joksch

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

7-7 in 14

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Joksch 1731 vs Mastera 1654

Joksch

Correct

both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Joksch 60% vs Mastera 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Joksch 70% vs Mastera 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Joksch +2 · Mastera -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Joksch)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsJoksch 1.78 / Mastera 1.93

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Joksch)+2.0pp

TT Cup · #13081794

Joksch1.78

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite68% won 19 of 28

Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14

Up 1–0, closes it94% 17 of 18

Mastera1.93

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog44% won 51 of 117

Down 0–1, comes back28% 22 of 80

Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 46

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeJoksch4wins

AwayMastera6wins

3 of 10 to a deciderMastera leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeJoksch66.7%4 of 6

AwayMastera100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Joksch6Mastera4n = 10Joksch took 6 of 10

S2Joksch6Mastera4n = 10Joksch took 6 of 10

S3Joksch4Mastera6n = 10Mastera took 6 of 10

S4Joksch1Mastera5n = 6Mastera took 5 of 6

S5Joksch1Mastera2n = 3Mastera took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricJokschMasteraJ − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.134.5+0.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricJokschMasteraBasisWin rate · lifetime53 / 105 vs 164 / 33150.5%49.6%53 / 105 vs 164 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Joksch

Joksch 1.78/Mastera 1.93

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Joksch · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Joksch won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 5 · 06:35J. Joksch—91111442M. Mastera—118511113

WJul 29 · 11:05J. Joksch—1111123M. Mastera—62100

WJul 12 · 13:35J. Joksch—11116113M. Mastera—661141

WJul 12 · 12:05J. Joksch—111169113M. Mastera—76111182

LJul 11 · 15:35J. Joksch—5980M. Mastera—1111113

LJul 4 · 12:35J. Joksch—81050M. Mastera—1112113

LJul 1 · 16:35J. Joksch—12101151M. Mastera—14122113

LJun 28 · 09:05J. Joksch—11117762M. Mastera—861111113

WJun 28 · 08:35J. Joksch—1111113M. Mastera—6470

LJun 24 · 17:05J. Joksch—1175101M. Mastera—71111123

J. Joksch10

WSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970 WSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113 LSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442 LSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113 WSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670 WSep 4 · 11:05J. Joksch1.361111113R. Fitl3.009870 LSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113 WSep 1 · 17:45J. Joksch1.691112113J. Ruzicka1.9771060 WSep 1 · 16:05T. Beran1.7311391172J. Joksch2.00611117113 WSep 1 · 15:35J. Ruzicka2.5091111672J. Joksch1.50117911113

M. Mastera10

WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730 WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161 WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113 WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113 LSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132 WSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113 WSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442 WAug 31 · 17:39J. Ruzicka1.6712119862M. Mastera2.101041111113 LAug 31 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.80111311113M. Mastera1.91415781 WAug 31 · 15:35M. Mastera2.2581111113M. Kucera1.57115981

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