TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073763
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Joksch
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118117––––
Radek Fitl
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Joksch to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Joksch above · Radek Fitl below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 57 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jakub Joksch at 71.6%
57 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Joksch 3–0 Radek Fitl Radek Fitl has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Joksch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Joksch
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Joksch 1716 vs Fitl 1534
Joksch
Correct
both rated, 182 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Joksch 80% vs Fitl 60%
Joksch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Joksch 50% vs Fitl 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Joksch -1 · Fitl +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Joksch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fitl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJoksch 1.36 / Fitl 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Joksch)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13073763
Joksch1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 17 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Fitl3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 50 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJoksch3wins
AwayFitl0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderJoksch leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Joksch2Fitl1n = 3Joksch took 2 of 3
S2Joksch3Fitl0n = 3Joksch took 3 of 3
S3Joksch2Fitl1n = 3Joksch took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJokschFitlJ − FBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.030.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokschFitlBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 99 vs 167 / 32449.5%51.5%49 / 99 vs 167 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokschJoksch 1.36/Fitl 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Joksch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Joksch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 7 · 10:05J. Joksch—11118113R. Fitl—391161
WJul 24 · 10:05J. Joksch—1111113R. Fitl—2680
WJul 19 · 15:05J. Joksch—513119113R. Fitl—111171152
J. Joksch10
WSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172WSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970WSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113LSep 5 · 06:35M. Mastera1.73118511113J. Joksch2.0091111442LSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 12:05J. Joksch1.301111113R. Pokorny3.408670LSep 4 · 10:05J. Joksch1.44561651R. Fnukal2.63111114113WSep 1 · 17:45J. Joksch1.691112113J. Ruzicka1.9771060WSep 1 · 16:05T. Beran1.7311391172J. Joksch2.00611117113WSep 1 · 15:35J. Ruzicka2.5091111672J. Joksch1.50117911113
R. Fitl10
WSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113LSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771WSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152LSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113LSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562LSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150WSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172
Upcoming Matches
J. Joksch
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R. Fitl
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