TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13078474
Played Sep 4Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1199111012711––
Jan Manhal Jr
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Jan Manhal Jr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11
80 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 3–1 Jan Manhal Jr Jan Manhal Jr has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Fitl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fitl form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 1.73 / Jr 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Fitl)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13078474
Fitl1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 73 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it79% 54 of 68
Jr2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 5 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFitl3wins
AwayJr1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderFitl leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFitl100%3 of 3
AwayJrn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fitl3Jr1n = 4Fitl took 3 of 4
S2Fitl2Jr2n = 4split evenly
S3Fitl3Jr1n = 4Fitl took 3 of 4
S4Fitl1Jr2n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricFitlJrF − JBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.236.5+5.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlJrBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 330 vs 14 / 3351.5%42.4%170 / 330 vs 14 / 33Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlFitl 1.73/Jr 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl—1114173J. Jr—812150
WAug 24 · 17:18R. Fitl—118119113J. Jr—61161182
LAug 24 · 15:35R. Fitl—8111061J. Jr—11212113
WAug 6 · 14:35R. Fitl—11911113J. Jr—611971
R. Fitl10
WSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113LSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771WSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152LSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562LSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150WSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172LSep 4 · 11:05J. Joksch1.361111113R. Fitl3.009870
J. Jr10
WSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110LSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150LAug 24 · 17:18J. Jr1.8361161182R. Fitl1.83118119113LAug 24 · 16:35J. Martin1.57111114153J. Jr2.256916131WAug 24 · 15:35J. Jr1.9111212113R. Fitl1.808111061LAug 24 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50911511113J. Jr2.5011711682LAug 23 · 09:05J. Jr1.831191151R. Vavricka1.8313115113WAug 23 · 08:35J. Jr1.911111113R. Vavricka1.805690LAug 23 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.831111113J. Jr1.837570
Upcoming Matches
R. Fitl
J. Jr
Nothing scheduled
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