TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082047
Played Sep 5Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1618119811611––
Krystof Lahodny
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:40 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeRadek Fitl to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Krystof Lahodny below
Set 1 · 16-18
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 90 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Radek Fitl at 68.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 4–3 Krystof Lahodny Krystof Lahodny has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:40What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Fitl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fitl 1559 vs Lahodny 1477
Fitl
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fitl 40% vs Lahodny 60%
Lahodny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fitl 60% vs Lahodny 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fitl +2 · Lahodny +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Fitl) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lahodny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 1.53 / Lahodny 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Fitl)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13082047
Fitl1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 74 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it85% 40 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it79% 55 of 70
Lahodny2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 9 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeFitl4wins
AwayLahodny3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderFitl leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFitl75%3 of 4
AwayLahodny66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fitl4Lahodny3n = 7Fitl took 4 of 7
S2Fitl6Lahodny1n = 7Fitl took 6 of 7
S3Fitl4Lahodny3n = 7Fitl took 4 of 7
S4Fitl3Lahodny2n = 5Fitl took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricFitlLahodnyF − LBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match41.038.6+2.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlLahodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 334 vs 13 / 3551.5%37.1%172 / 334 vs 13 / 35Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlFitl 1.53/Lahodny 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lahodny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl—1611861K. Lahodny—18911113
WAug 31 · 13:05R. Fitl—1113113K. Lahodny—31190
LAug 31 · 11:35R. Fitl—711911112K. Lahodny—117119133
WAug 27 · 12:35R. Fitl—91111123K. Lahodny—1186101
WAug 21 · 12:05R. Fitl—11812113K. Lahodny—7111061
LAug 20 · 17:04R. Fitl—121273102K. Lahodny—10101111123
WAug 20 · 16:05R. Fitl—1111113K. Lahodny—9780
R. Fitl10
WSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113WSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771WSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152LSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113LSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562LSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150WSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172LSep 4 · 11:05J. Joksch1.361111113R. Fitl3.009870
K. Lahodny10
LSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113WSep 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.7371212792K. Lahodny2.0011101011113WSep 5 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.10411118113R. Vavricka1.6711881142LAug 31 · 13:05K. Lahodny2.2531190R. Fitl1.571113113LAug 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal1.571211113K. Lahodny2.2510880WAug 31 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.38117119133R. Fitl1.53711911112LAug 31 · 10:05M. Holub1.6151111153K. Lahodny2.201198131WAug 27 · 13:09K. Lahodny2.109111110113P. Chvatal1.6711881272LAug 27 · 12:35R. Fitl1.4491111123K. Lahodny2.631186101LAug 27 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.63118861R. Vosyka1.4481111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Fitl
K. Lahodny
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.