TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13050114
Played Aug 31Finished
Krystof Lahodny
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1177111199111311
Radek Fitl
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:13 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeRadek Fitl to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKrystof Lahodny above · Radek Fitl below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 100 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Radek Fitl at 67.3%
100 points played in total.
H2H Krystof Lahodny 1–3 Radek Fitl Krystof Lahodny has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Fitl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Fitl
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lahodny 1412 vs Fitl 1565
Fitl
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lahodny 40% vs Fitl 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lahodny 40% vs Fitl 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lahodny -1 · Fitl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Fitl) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fitl form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLahodny 2.38 / Fitl 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Fitl)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13050114
Lahodny2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 8 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Fitl1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 70 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it84% 36 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeLahodny1wins
AwayFitl3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderFitl leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLahodnyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayFitl66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lahodny1Fitl3n = 4Fitl took 3 of 4
S2Lahodny1Fitl3n = 4Fitl took 3 of 4
S3Lahodny1Fitl3n = 4Fitl took 3 of 4
S4Lahodny1Fitl2n = 3Fitl took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricLahodnyFitlL − FBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.840.5−3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLahodnyFitlBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 29 vs 163 / 31631%51.6%9 / 29 vs 163 / 316Avg sets wonper match1.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlLahodny 2.38/Fitl 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.6%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lahodny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 27 · 12:35K. Lahodny—1186101R. Fitl—91111123
LAug 21 · 12:05K. Lahodny—7111061R. Fitl—11812113
WAug 20 · 17:04K. Lahodny—10101111123R. Fitl—121273102
LAug 20 · 16:05K. Lahodny—9780R. Fitl—1111113
K. Lahodny10
LSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113WSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.7371212792K. Lahodny2.0011101011113WSep 5 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.10411118113R. Vavricka1.6711881142LAug 31 · 13:05K. Lahodny2.2531190R. Fitl1.571113113LAug 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal1.571211113K. Lahodny2.2510880LAug 31 · 10:05M. Holub1.6151111153K. Lahodny2.201198131WAug 27 · 13:09K. Lahodny2.109111110113P. Chvatal1.6711881272LAug 27 · 12:35R. Fitl1.4491111123K. Lahodny2.631186101LAug 27 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.63118861R. Vosyka1.4481111113
R. Fitl10
WSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113LSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771WSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152LSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113LSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562LSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150WAug 31 · 13:05K. Lahodny2.2531190R. Fitl1.571113113WAug 27 · 12:35R. Fitl1.4491111123K. Lahodny2.631186101
Upcoming Matches
K. Lahodny
Nothing scheduled
R. Fitl
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.