TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13023889
Played Aug 27Finished
Radek Fitl
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111181161210––
Krystof Lahodny
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:52 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeRadek Fitl to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Fitl above · Krystof Lahodny below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 78 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Radek Fitl at 67.3%
78 points played in total.
H2H Radek Fitl 1–1 Krystof Lahodny Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:52What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Fitl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fitl 1536 vs Lahodny 1417
Fitl
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fitl 40% vs Lahodny 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fitl 40% vs Lahodny 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fitl +1 · Lahodny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Fitl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fitl form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFitl 1.44 / Lahodny 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Fitl)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13023889
Fitl1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 67 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it78% 50 of 64
Lahodny2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 6 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeFitl1wins
AwayLahodny1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricFitlLahodnyF − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.539.0−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFitlLahodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime159 / 309 vs 8 / 2651.5%30.8%159 / 309 vs 8 / 26Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.534.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlFitl 1.44/Lahodny 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fitl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 20 · 17:04R. Fitl—121273102K. Lahodny—10101111123
WAug 20 · 16:05R. Fitl—1111113K. Lahodny—9780
R. Fitl10
WSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113LSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771WSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152LSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113LSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562LSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150WSep 4 · 13:50J. Joksch1.3021112992R. Fitl3.401191011113WSep 4 · 12:35R. Fitl2.101111139113R. Fnukal1.6797151172
K. Lahodny10
LSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113WSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.7371212792K. Lahodny2.0011101011113WSep 5 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.10411118113R. Vavricka1.6711881142LAug 31 · 13:05K. Lahodny2.2531190R. Fitl1.571113113LAug 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal1.571211113K. Lahodny2.2510880WAug 31 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.38117119133R. Fitl1.53711911112LAug 31 · 10:05M. Holub1.6151111153K. Lahodny2.201198131WAug 27 · 13:09K. Lahodny2.109111110113P. Chvatal1.6711881272LAug 27 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.63118861R. Vosyka1.4481111113
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