TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13050097
Played Aug 31Finished
Matej Holub
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111191181513––
Krystof Lahodny
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeMatej Holub to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMatej Holub above · Krystof Lahodny below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 83 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Matej Holub at 60.5%
83 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Holub
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Holub 1611 vs Lahodny 1428
Holub
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holub 80% vs Lahodny 40%
Holub
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holub 70% vs Lahodny 40%
Holub
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holub +2 · Lahodny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Holub)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 1.61 / Lahodny 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Holub)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13050097
Holub1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 36 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it77% 26 of 34
Lahodny2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 8 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubLahodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 188 vs 9 / 2856.4%32.1%106 / 188 vs 9 / 28Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubHolub 1.61/Lahodny 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.5%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Holub won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Holub10
LSep 3 · 17:35T. Beran1.5512711133M. Holub2.3010119111LSep 3 · 17:34T. Beran1.5012711133M. Holub2.5010119111WSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113WSep 3 · 15:35M. Holub2.20111111133T. Trnka1.611386111LSep 3 · 14:05T. Beran1.8391111113M. Holub1.83112861WSep 1 · 13:50M. Holub1.691111113R. Pokorny1.978460WSep 1 · 12:05M. Holub1.731112113R. Pokorny2.0061030WSep 1 · 11:05M. Holub2.0051112133R. Neterda1.7311810111WSep 1 · 10:05M. Holub1.2011811113O. Pros4.33811851LAug 31 · 13:35M. Holub2.001111481P. Chvatal1.7313511113
K. Lahodny10
LSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113WSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.7371212792K. Lahodny2.0011101011113WSep 5 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.10411118113R. Vavricka1.6711881142LAug 31 · 13:05K. Lahodny2.2531190R. Fitl1.571113113LAug 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal1.571211113K. Lahodny2.2510880WAug 31 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.38117119133R. Fitl1.53711911112WAug 27 · 13:09K. Lahodny2.109111110113P. Chvatal1.6711881272LAug 27 · 12:35R. Fitl1.4491111123K. Lahodny2.631186101LAug 27 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.63118861R. Vosyka1.4481111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Holub
K. Lahodny
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