TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082002
Played Sep 5Finished
Jirasek Martin
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71112101210711911
Krystof Lahodny
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:01 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJirasek Martin to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Krystof Lahodny below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 100 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jirasek Martin at 54.5%
100 points played in total.
H2H Jirasek Martin 2–1 Krystof Lahodny Krystof Lahodny has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:01What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Martin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martin 1448 vs Lahodny 1445
Martin
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 20% vs Lahodny 40%
Lahodny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 20% vs Lahodny 40%
Lahodny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin -1 · Lahodny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Martin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 1.73 / Lahodny 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Martin)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13082002
Martin1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 11 of 21
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it70% 7 of 10
Lahodny2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 9 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMartin2wins
AwayLahodny1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMartin leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martin1Lahodny2n = 3Lahodny took 2 of 3
S2Martin2Lahodny1n = 3Martin took 2 of 3
S3Martin2Lahodny1n = 3Martin took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMartinLahodnyM − LBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.331.7+4.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinLahodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 54 vs 11 / 3348.2%33.3%26 / 54 vs 11 / 33Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinMartin 1.73/Lahodny 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Martin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lahodny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 20 · 20:05J. Martin—9880K. Lahodny—1111113
WAug 19 · 16:05J. Martin—1111116113K. Lahodny—13861132
WAug 16 · 16:05J. Martin—1111123K. Lahodny—56100
J. Martin10
WSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140LSep 6 · 08:35J. Lovl1.441111113J. Martin2.639550WSep 6 · 07:35J. Martin1.731111113M. Flesar2.007640LSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670WSep 5 · 21:04J. Martin2.001111123R. Vavricka1.7389100WSep 5 · 20:35R. Vavricka1.677680J. Martin2.101111113LSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152WSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113LSep 5 · 12:35J. Lovl1.9191111113J. Martin1.80115681LSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin2.3811125542R. Neterda1.535101111113
K. Lahodny10
LSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113WSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.10411118113R. Vavricka1.6711881142LAug 31 · 13:05K. Lahodny2.2531190R. Fitl1.571113113LAug 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal1.571211113K. Lahodny2.2510880WAug 31 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.38117119133R. Fitl1.53711911112LAug 31 · 10:05M. Holub1.6151111153K. Lahodny2.201198131WAug 27 · 13:09K. Lahodny2.109111110113P. Chvatal1.6711881272LAug 27 · 12:35R. Fitl1.4491111123K. Lahodny2.631186101LAug 27 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.63118861R. Vosyka1.4481111113
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