TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13052748
Played Aug 31Finished
Krystof Lahodny
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3111113911––––
Radek Fitl
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingKrystof Lahodny above · Radek Fitl below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11
58 points played in total.
H2H Krystof Lahodny 2–3 Radek Fitl Krystof Lahodny has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Fitl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fitl form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLahodny 2.25 / Fitl 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Fitl)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13052748
Lahodny2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 8 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Fitl1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 70 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it84% 36 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeLahodny2wins
AwayFitl3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderFitl leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLahodnyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFitl66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lahodny2Fitl3n = 5Fitl took 3 of 5
S2Lahodny1Fitl4n = 5Fitl took 4 of 5
S3Lahodny2Fitl3n = 5Fitl took 3 of 5
S4Lahodny1Fitl3n = 4Fitl took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricLahodnyFitlL − FBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match39.642.2−2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLahodnyFitlBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 31 vs 163 / 31832.3%51.3%10 / 31 vs 163 / 318Avg sets wonper match1.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FitlLahodny 2.25/Fitl 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Fitl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fitl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 31 · 11:35K. Lahodny—117119133R. Fitl—711911112
LAug 27 · 12:35K. Lahodny—1186101R. Fitl—91111123
LAug 21 · 12:05K. Lahodny—7111061R. Fitl—11812113
WAug 20 · 17:04K. Lahodny—10101111123R. Fitl—121273102
LAug 20 · 16:05K. Lahodny—9780R. Fitl—1111113
K. Lahodny10
LSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113WSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.7371212792K. Lahodny2.0011101011113WSep 5 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.10411118113R. Vavricka1.6711881142LAug 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal1.571211113K. Lahodny2.2510880WAug 31 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.38117119133R. Fitl1.53711911112LAug 31 · 10:05M. Holub1.6151111153K. Lahodny2.201198131WAug 27 · 13:09K. Lahodny2.109111110113P. Chvatal1.6711881272LAug 27 · 12:35R. Fitl1.4491111123K. Lahodny2.631186101LAug 27 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.63118861R. Vosyka1.4481111113
R. Fitl10
WSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113LSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771WSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152LSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113LSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562LSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150LAug 31 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.38117119133R. Fitl1.53711911112WAug 27 · 12:35R. Fitl1.4491111123K. Lahodny2.631186101
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R. Fitl
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