TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080376
Played Sep 5Finished
Jirasek Martin
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151210511511411
Radek Neterda
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:20 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeRadek Neterda to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Radek Neterda below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 4-10
Point 84 set 5, 4-10 — our read held Radek Neterda at 61.6%
84 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jirasek Martin 0–2 Radek Neterda Jirasek Martin has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Neterda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Martin 1445 vs Neterda 1539
Neterda
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 20% vs Neterda 60%
Neterda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 40% vs Neterda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin -4 · Neterda -1
Martin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Neterda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 2.38 / Neterda 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Neterda)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13080376
Martin2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 13 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Neterda1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 54 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMartin0wins
AwayNeterda2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderNeterda leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMartinNeterdaM − NBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.048.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinNeterdaBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 51 vs 196 / 38649%50.8%25 / 51 vs 196 / 386Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaMartin 2.38/Neterda 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Neterda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin—11125542R. Neterda—5101111113
LAug 24 · 12:35J. Martin—11411782R. Neterda—911611113
J. Martin10
WSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140LSep 6 · 08:35J. Lovl1.441111113J. Martin2.639550WSep 6 · 07:35J. Martin1.731111113M. Flesar2.007640LSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670WSep 5 · 21:04J. Martin2.001111123R. Vavricka1.7389100WSep 5 · 20:35R. Vavricka1.677680J. Martin2.101111113LSep 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.7371212792K. Lahodny2.0011101011113LSep 5 · 18:05R. Fitl1.571111114113J. Martin2.2541391152WSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113LSep 5 · 12:35J. Lovl1.9191111113J. Martin1.80115681
R. Neterda10
LSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113WSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153LSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113WSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113WSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562WSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113LSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123LSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113LSep 1 · 11:05M. Holub2.0051112133R. Neterda1.7311810111
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