TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13078551
Played Sep 4Finished
Milan Flesar
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611511––––
Radek Neterda
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMilan Flesar above · Radek Neterda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11
51 points played in total.
H2H Milan Flesar 2–10 Radek Neterda Milan Flesar has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Neterda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neterda form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFlesar 2.10 / Neterda 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Neterda)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13078551
Flesar2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 41 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back30% 17 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Neterda1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 54 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFlesar2wins
AwayNeterda8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderNeterda leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFlesar20%1 of 5
AwayNeterda80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Flesar5Neterda5n = 10split evenly
S2Flesar2Neterda8n = 10Neterda took 8 of 10
S3Flesar2Neterda8n = 10Neterda took 8 of 10
S4Flesar1Neterda5n = 6Neterda took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricFlesarNeterdaF − NBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.837.7−6.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFlesarNeterdaBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 384 vs 194 / 38353.4%50.7%205 / 384 vs 194 / 383Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaFlesar 2.10/Neterda 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Neterda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 14:05M. Flesar—111199113R. Neterda—38111192
LJul 1 · 12:05M. Flesar—11511682R. Neterda—611911113
LJun 29 · 15:05M. Flesar—114891R. Neterda—71111113
LJun 11 · 13:15M. Flesar—4480R. Neterda—1111113
LJun 11 · 11:35M. Flesar—1166101R. Neterda—51111123
LMay 31 · 17:45M. Flesar—6580R. Neterda—1111113
LMay 31 · 16:05M. Flesar—117891R. Neterda—91111113
WApr 28 · 11:35M. Flesar—51111113R. Neterda—118781
LApr 8 · 13:35M. Flesar—9770R. Neterda—1111113
LApr 8 · 11:05M. Flesar—7670R. Neterda—1111113
M. Flesar10
LSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140WSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143LSep 6 · 07:35J. Martin1.731111113M. Flesar2.007640LSep 6 · 06:35M. Flesar3.255980J. Lovl1.331111113LSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110WSep 4 · 15:35M. Flesar1.571111113R. Fitl2.256840WSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113WSep 3 · 13:44O. Pros1.408711121M. Flesar2.7511119143LSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143WSep 3 · 11:05M. Flesar1.8391111113M. Chmelicek1.83118941
R. Neterda10
LSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113WSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin2.3811125542R. Neterda1.535101111113LSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113WSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562WSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113LSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123LSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113LSep 1 · 11:05M. Holub2.0051112133R. Neterda1.7311810111
Upcoming Matches
M. Flesar
Nothing scheduled
R. Neterda
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