TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13056029
Played Sep 1Finished
Radek Neterda
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101211131513911––
Ondrej Pros
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Pros to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Ondrej Pros below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 94 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Pros at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 2–6 Ondrej Pros Radek Neterda has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:15What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pros
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Pros
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neterda 1560 vs Pros 1379
Neterda
Wrong
both rated, 181 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neterda 60% vs Pros 0%
Neterda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neterda 50% vs Pros 20%
Neterda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Neterda -1 · Pros -5
Pros
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Neterda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pros form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 1.91 / Pros 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Neterda)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13056029
Neterda1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 39 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 40
Pros1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 22 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeNeterda2wins
AwayPros6wins
3 of 8 to a deciderPros leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeterda66.7%2 of 3
AwayPros100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neterda3Pros5n = 8Pros took 5 of 8
S2Neterda2Pros6n = 8Pros took 6 of 8
S3Neterda3Pros5n = 8Pros took 5 of 8
S4Neterda2Pros3n = 5Pros took 3 of 5
S5Neterda1Pros2n = 3Pros took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away338%
These 8 meetings
MetricNeterdaProsN − PBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match36.240.6−4.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaProsBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 378 vs 109 / 23750.8%46%192 / 378 vs 109 / 237Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NeterdaNeterda 1.91/Pros 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Neterda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pros won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 4 · 12:35R. Neterda—8920O. Pros—1111113
LJun 28 · 18:05R. Neterda—131081172O. Pros—1112118113
LJun 15 · 10:35R. Neterda—91150O. Pros—1113113
LMar 13 · 14:05R. Neterda—5111212102O. Pros—1191014123
WMar 13 · 12:35R. Neterda—118119153O. Pros—511611132
LFeb 21 · 14:40R. Neterda—6970O. Pros—1111113
WDec 26 · 13:35R. Neterda—11811113O. Pros—911261
LDec 17 · 13:35R. Neterda—711751O. Pros—11811113
R. Neterda10
LSep 5 · 13:08R. Neterda1.539990J. Martin2.381111113WSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:35J. Martin2.3811125542R. Neterda1.535101111113LSep 5 · 10:35R. Neterda1.915070J. Lovl1.801111113WSep 4 · 17:34M. Flesar2.107650R. Neterda1.671111113WSep 4 · 16:05R. Neterda1.801311913113R. Fitl1.91116111562WSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:05R. Neterda1.5038111192M. Flesar2.50111199113LSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123LSep 1 · 11:05M. Holub2.0051112133R. Neterda1.7311810111
O. Pros10
LSep 3 · 13:44O. Pros1.408711121M. Flesar2.7511119143WSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143LSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540WSep 3 · 10:35O. Pros2.0011811113M. Chmelicek1.73711871WSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123LSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Holub1.2011811113O. Pros4.33811851LAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162LAug 27 · 16:35O. Pros2.385440L. Vosyka1.531111113LAug 27 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.36991111113O. Pros3.0011118542
Upcoming Matches
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O. Pros
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