TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13030982
Played Aug 27Finished
David Hons
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118911116711116
Ondrej Pros
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingDavid Hons above · Ondrej Pros below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 91 set 5, 11-6
91 points played in total.
H2H David Hons 5–1 Ondrej Pros Ondrej Pros has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Hons)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pros form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHons 1.44 / Pros 2.63
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Hons)-0.6pp
TT Cup · #13030982
Hons1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 50 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it71% 34 of 48
Pros2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 33 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHons5wins
AwayPros1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderHons leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHons100%4 of 4
AwayProsn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hons4Pros2n = 6Hons took 4 of 6
S2Hons3Pros3n = 6split evenly
S3Hons5Pros1n = 6Hons took 5 of 6
S4Hons5Pros0n = 5Hons took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home467%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricHonsProsH − PBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match38.531.8+6.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHonsProsBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 457 vs 109 / 23349.5%46.8%226 / 457 vs 109 / 233Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HonsHons 1.44/Pros 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.9%
Hons · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hons won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 27 · 14:35D. Hons—11117113O. Pros—341191
LJul 31 · 19:05D. Hons—45131162O. Pros—1111118113
WJul 28 · 13:15D. Hons—61111113O. Pros—116981
WJul 28 · 11:35D. Hons—11511113O. Pros—911541
WJul 24 · 19:05D. Hons—11911113O. Pros—711761
WJul 22 · 14:05D. Hons—1111113O. Pros—6390
D. Hons10
LSep 3 · 21:08D. Hons2.259440R. Fitl1.571111113LSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113WSep 3 · 18:05R. Fitl1.676650D. Hons2.101111113WAug 29 · 21:10D. Hons1.831114138113R. Pokorny1.83712151182LAug 29 · 20:35D. Hons1.531411961M. Flesar2.3816911113WAug 29 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.7351161182D. Hons2.00117115113LAug 29 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.611111123D. Hons2.2097100LAug 27 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.571111133D. Hons2.2597110LAug 27 · 15:35L. Vosyka1.73611711133D. Hons2.00115116112
O. Pros10
LSep 3 · 13:44O. Pros1.408711121M. Flesar2.7511119143WSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143LSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540WSep 3 · 10:35O. Pros2.0011811113M. Chmelicek1.73711871WSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123WSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113LSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113LSep 1 · 10:05M. Holub1.2011811113O. Pros4.33811851LAug 27 · 16:35O. Pros2.385440L. Vosyka1.531111113LAug 27 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.36991111113O. Pros3.0011118542
Upcoming Matches
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O. Pros
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