TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029145
Played Aug 27Finished
Jan Ruzicka
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191171311––––
David Hons
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:48 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeJan Ruzicka to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Ruzicka above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 62 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Jan Ruzicka at 62.1%
62 points played in total.
H2H Jan Ruzicka 19–14 David Hons David Hons has won 14 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-14 in 33
Ruzicka
Correct
gap of 5 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1672 vs Hons 1518
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 60% vs Hons 40%
Ruzicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 70% vs Hons 30%
Ruzicka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +2 · Hons -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.57 / Hons 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Ruzicka)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13029145
Ruzicka1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 77 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it85% 63 of 74
Hons2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 62 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka8wins
AwayHons2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka100%5 of 5
AwayHons40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka5Hons5n = 10split evenly
S2Ruzicka7Hons3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S3Ruzicka7Hons3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S4Ruzicka3Hons1n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaHonsR − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.230.7+6.5per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 396 vs 227 / 45852%49.6%206 / 396 vs 227 / 458Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.57/Hons 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.1%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 16:05J. Ruzicka—1111133D. Hons—97110
WAug 20 · 17:35J. Ruzicka—1111113D. Hons—6560
LAug 20 · 16:35J. Ruzicka—5850D. Hons—1111113
WAug 8 · 11:05J. Ruzicka—1111113D. Hons—6790
WAug 8 · 07:05J. Ruzicka—111111113D. Hons—133961
LJul 28 · 12:05J. Ruzicka—10890D. Hons—1211113
WJul 1 · 19:05J. Ruzicka—11711113D. Hons—911471
WJun 30 · 14:35J. Ruzicka—7111011113D. Hons—11312542
WJun 27 · 09:15J. Ruzicka—1111113D. Hons—9790
WJun 27 · 07:35J. Ruzicka—10141113113D. Hons—121271562
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 6 · 09:35J. Ruzicka1.83591211113J. Lovl1.83111110472LSep 6 · 08:05J. Ruzicka1.257126121M. Flesar3.75111011143WSep 6 · 07:05J. Ruzicka1.9191111123J. Lovl1.801194101WSep 6 · 06:05J. Ruzicka1.531211113J. Martin2.3810670LSep 5 · 13:40J. Lovl1.6711711113J. Ruzicka2.10711791LSep 5 · 12:05J. Ruzicka1.67111175132R. Neterda2.10761111153WSep 5 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.91861111113J. Lovl1.8011116972WSep 5 · 10:05J. Ruzicka1.6191411113J. Martin2.201112541LSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162LSep 3 · 16:35J. Ruzicka1.8071160M. Holub1.911113113
D. Hons10
LSep 3 · 21:08D. Hons2.259440R. Fitl1.571111113LSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113WSep 3 · 18:05R. Fitl1.676650D. Hons2.101111113WAug 29 · 21:10D. Hons1.831114138113R. Pokorny1.83712151182LAug 29 · 20:35D. Hons1.531411961M. Flesar2.3816911113WAug 29 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.7351161182D. Hons2.00117115113LAug 29 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.611111123D. Hons2.2097100WAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162LAug 27 · 15:35L. Vosyka1.73611711133D. Hons2.00115116112
Upcoming Matches
J. Ruzicka
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D. Hons
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