TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029337
Played Aug 27Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111157111161311
David Hons
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:12 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · David Hons below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 92 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 55.4%
92 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 20–25 David Hons Ladislav Vosyka has won 20 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:12What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-25 in 45
Hons
Wrong
gap of 5 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1484 vs Hons 1504
Hons
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 40% vs Hons 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Hons 30%
Vosyka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka -2 · Hons +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.73 / Hons 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13029337
Vosyka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 70 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it74% 52 of 70
Hons2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 62 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVosyka5wins
AwayHons5wins
Level at 5–5.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka60%3 of 5
AwayHons60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka5Hons5n = 10split evenly
S2Vosyka5Hons5n = 10split evenly
S3Vosyka6Hons4n = 10Vosyka took 6 of 10
S4Vosyka2Hons3n = 5Hons took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVosykaHonsV − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.131.6+1.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 395 vs 226 / 45550.6%49.7%200 / 395 vs 226 / 455Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.73/Hons 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 19:35L. Vosyka—1111113D. Hons—6570
LJul 22 · 16:05L. Vosyka—71040D. Hons—1112113
WJul 19 · 19:05L. Vosyka—91111113D. Hons—119341
WJul 7 · 20:35L. Vosyka—71111113D. Hons—116581
WJul 3 · 21:35L. Vosyka—1111113D. Hons—9560
WJul 3 · 20:05L. Vosyka—1111113D. Hons—8870
LJul 1 · 21:10L. Vosyka—119671D. Hons—61111113
LJul 1 · 18:05L. Vosyka—3890D. Hons—1111113
LJun 21 · 21:35L. Vosyka—1261151D. Hons—14119113
LJun 21 · 20:05L. Vosyka—1398121D. Hons—111111143
L. Vosyka10
WSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840LSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531WSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:05L. Vosyka1.6711611942M. Flesar2.10711611113LSep 2 · 15:05L. Vosyka1.3661570P. Pesout3.001117113LSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113LSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113WSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113
D. Hons10
LSep 3 · 21:08D. Hons2.259440R. Fitl1.571111113LSep 3 · 20:35J. Vidourek1.6781111113D. Hons2.10115851LSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons2.50612581R. Vosyka1.50111011113WSep 3 · 18:05R. Fitl1.676650D. Hons2.101111113WAug 29 · 21:10D. Hons1.831114138113R. Pokorny1.83712151182LAug 29 · 20:35D. Hons1.531411961M. Flesar2.3816911113WAug 29 · 19:05R. Pokorny1.7351161182D. Hons2.00117115113LAug 29 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.611111123D. Hons2.2097100WAug 27 · 17:05D. Hons1.44119117113O. Pros2.6381161162LAug 27 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.571111133D. Hons2.2597110
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