TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086614
Played Sep 6Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911117115113––
Matyas Rojka
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Matyas Rojka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 68 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 59.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 4–1 Matyas Rojka Matyas Rojka has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:38What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Vosyka
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1484 vs Rojka 1358
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 20% vs Rojka 40%
Rojka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 40% vs Rojka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka +1 · Rojka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.67 / Rojka 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Vosyka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13086614
Vosyka1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 79 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 58 of 77
Rojka2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 17 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back18% 3 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVosyka4wins
AwayRojka1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderVosyka leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka80%4 of 5
AwayRojkan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka5Rojka0n = 5Vosyka took 5 of 5
S2Vosyka3Rojka2n = 5Vosyka took 3 of 5
S3Vosyka1Rojka4n = 5Rojka took 4 of 5
S4Vosyka3Rojka2n = 5Vosyka took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricVosykaRojkaV − RBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match41.837.6+4.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaRojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 414 vs 91 / 19051%47.9%211 / 414 vs 91 / 190Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.67/Rojka 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 8 · 20:05L. Vosyka—11116113M. Rojka—851191
WJul 3 · 18:35L. Vosyka—11119123M. Rojka—9911101
LJun 23 · 19:35L. Vosyka—118891M. Rojka—81111113
WMar 15 · 22:05L. Vosyka—111011113M. Rojka—612821
WMar 15 · 19:05L. Vosyka—111186123M. Rojka—691111102
L. Vosyka10
WSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840LSep 6 · 20:05L. Vosyka1.4451141142M. Chmelicek2.63117116113WSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 2 · 17:05M. Cyrus2.20156571L. Vosyka1.61131111113LSep 2 · 16:05L. Vosyka1.6711611942M. Flesar2.10711611113LSep 2 · 15:05L. Vosyka1.3661570P. Pesout3.001117113LSep 2 · 14:05L. Vosyka1.6111611682M. Cyrus2.20511711113LSep 1 · 21:48L. Vosyka1.571011981J. Vidourek2.2512911113WSep 1 · 20:05J. Vidourek2.251411111082L. Vosyka1.57169912113WSep 1 · 19:35J. Kabelka2.509119101L. Vosyka1.5011811123
M. Rojka10
LSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551LSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:35M. Rojka1.916411131M. Chmelicek1.8011118153LSep 4 · 21:45M. Cyrus2.101111314113M. Rojka1.67135111282WSep 4 · 20:05M. Chmelicek1.80111281072M. Rojka1.915101112113WSep 4 · 19:35R. Jaros3.255510M. Rojka1.331111113LSep 4 · 18:35M. Rojka1.50119117112M. Cyrus2.50811811133LSep 2 · 21:50T. Krcil1.73116911113M. Rojka2.0091111952LSep 2 · 20:35M. Rojka1.8391314892J. Hajek1.8311111211113LSep 2 · 19:05T. Krcil1.7311311113M. Rojka2.00511581
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