TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063918
Played Sep 2Finished
Matyas Rojka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91113111412811911
Jaroslav Hajek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Hajek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMatyas Rojka above · Jaroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 109 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jaroslav Hajek at 54.0%
109 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hajek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Rojka 1362 vs Hajek 1375
Hajek
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rojka 40% vs Hajek 20%
Rojka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rojka 20% vs Hajek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rojka -1 · Hajek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rojka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRojka 1.83 / Hajek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rojka)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13063918
Rojka1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Hajek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRojkaHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 184 vs 8 / 2248.4%36.4%89 / 184 vs 8 / 22Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RojkaRojka 1.83/Hajek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rojka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hajek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Rojka10
LSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551LSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:35M. Rojka1.916411131M. Chmelicek1.8011118153LSep 6 · 18:05L. Vosyka1.6791111113M. Rojka2.10117531LSep 4 · 21:45M. Cyrus2.101111314113M. Rojka1.67135111282WSep 4 · 20:05M. Chmelicek1.80111281072M. Rojka1.915101112113WSep 4 · 19:35R. Jaros3.255510M. Rojka1.331111113LSep 4 · 18:35M. Rojka1.50119117112M. Cyrus2.50811811133LSep 2 · 21:50T. Krcil1.73116911113M. Rojka2.0091111952LSep 2 · 19:05T. Krcil1.7311311113M. Rojka2.00511581
J. Hajek10
WSep 3 · 13:14M. Chmelicek1.8381161182J. Hajek1.83116115113LSep 3 · 12:35M. Chmelicek1.73511714113J. Hajek2.00117111292WSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540LSep 3 · 10:05M. Flesar1.91117119113J. Hajek1.8011181172WSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180LSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil1.61111110113J. Hajek2.20691281WAug 21 · 21:05R. Jaros1.8318111182J. Hajek1.83111199113LAug 21 · 20:05J. Hajek2.001051391J. Horky1.73121111113LAug 21 · 19:05J. Hajek1.7311512762M. Chmelicek2.009111011113
Upcoming Matches
M. Rojka
J. Hajek
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