TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13063968
Played Sep 2Finished
Jaroslav Hajek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171198114111113
Jan Kabelka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Hajek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Hajek above · Jan Kabelka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 96 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Jaroslav Hajek at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:20What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hajek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Hajek 1391 vs Kabelka 1424
Kabelka
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hajek 20% vs Kabelka 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hajek 30% vs Kabelka 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hajek -1 · Kabelka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kabelka form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.73 / Kabelka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hajek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13063968
Hajek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kabelka2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 49 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekKabelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 21 vs 125 / 26038.1%48.1%8 / 21 vs 125 / 260Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHajek 1.73/Kabelka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kabelka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Hajek10
WSep 3 · 13:14M. Chmelicek1.8381161182J. Hajek1.83116115113LSep 3 · 12:35M. Chmelicek1.73511714113J. Hajek2.00117111292WSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540LSep 3 · 10:05M. Flesar1.91117119113J. Hajek1.8011181172WSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180WSep 2 · 20:35M. Rojka1.8391314892J. Hajek1.8311111211113LSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil1.61111110113J. Hajek2.20691281WAug 21 · 21:05R. Jaros1.8318111182J. Hajek1.83111199113LAug 21 · 20:05J. Hajek2.001051391J. Horky1.73121111113LAug 21 · 19:05J. Hajek1.7311512762M. Chmelicek2.009111011113
J. Kabelka10
WSep 6 · 21:10J. Kabelka1.5011811113M. Rojka2.50311551WSep 6 · 20:35J. Kabelka2.0051111113M. Rojka1.73117681LSep 6 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.501211113J. Kabelka2.5010720WSep 6 · 18:35M. Chmelicek1.837114111J. Kabelka1.8311511133LSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180LSep 2 · 21:18M. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7341180LSep 2 · 20:05T. Krcil1.611111113J. Kabelka2.202720LSep 2 · 18:35J. Kabelka1.8011211632M. Rojka1.91611311113LSep 1 · 21:18J. Kabelka2.004570T. Krcil1.731111113WSep 1 · 20:35T. Krcil1.57127611112J. Kabelka2.251011117133
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