TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12472520
Played Aug 21Finished
Radim Jaros
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
111811119119811
Jaroslav Hajek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingRadim Jaros above · Jaroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11
90 points played in total.
H2H Radim Jaros 1–0 Jaroslav Hajek Jaroslav Hajek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jaros)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hajek form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJaros 1.83 / Hajek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jaros)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12472520
Jaros1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Hajek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJaros1wins
AwayHajek0wins
Jaros leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJarosHajekJ − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.027.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJarosHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 224 vs 7 / 1939.7%36.8%89 / 224 vs 7 / 19Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match34.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JarosJaros 1.83/Hajek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jaros · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 21 · 18:05R. Jaros—11311113J. Hajek—511381
R. Jaros10
WSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101LSep 6 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6311811121P. Pesout1.4481113143LSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172LSep 5 · 17:15M. Chmelicek1.1716115113R. Jaros4.501481131WSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113LSep 5 · 15:35R. Jaros3.25119801T. Motacek1.3351111113LSep 5 · 14:05M. Chmelicek1.171111113R. Jaros4.502750LSep 4 · 21:15M. Chmelicek—1111113R. Jaros—4790LSep 4 · 20:35M. Cyrus1.44111011113R. Jaros2.63412771
J. Hajek10
WSep 3 · 13:14M. Chmelicek1.8381161182J. Hajek1.83116115113LSep 3 · 12:35M. Chmelicek1.73511714113J. Hajek2.00117111292WSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540LSep 3 · 10:05M. Flesar1.91117119113J. Hajek1.8011181172WSep 2 · 21:20J. Hajek2.001113113J. Kabelka1.7141180WSep 2 · 20:35M. Rojka1.8391314892J. Hajek1.8311111211113LSep 2 · 19:35J. Hajek1.73111184112J. Kabelka2.00791111133LSep 2 · 18:05T. Krcil1.61111110113J. Hajek2.20691281LAug 21 · 20:05J. Hajek2.001051391J. Horky1.73121111113LAug 21 · 19:05J. Hajek1.7311512762M. Chmelicek2.009111011113
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