TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081741
Played Sep 5Finished
Radim Jaros
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115911811011––
Tomas Motacek
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:00 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Motacek to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Jaros above · Tomas Motacek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 0-11
Point 66 set 4, 0-11 — our read held Tomas Motacek at 70.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H Radim Jaros 0–1 Tomas Motacek Radim Jaros has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:00What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Motacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jaros 1136 vs Motacek 1292
Motacek
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jaros 0% vs Motacek 40%
Motacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jaros 10% vs Motacek 30%
Motacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jaros -5 · Motacek -2
Jaros
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Motacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Motacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJaros 3.25 / Motacek 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Motacek)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13081741
Jaros3.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog28% won 20 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back13% 6 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Motacek1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJaros0wins
AwayMotacek1wins
Motacek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricJarosMotacekJ − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match14.033.0−19.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJarosMotacekBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 246 vs 5 / 1337.8%38.5%93 / 246 vs 5 / 13Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match34.034.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MotacekJaros 3.25/Motacek 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Motacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Motacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 29 · 16:35R. Jaros—1850T. Motacek—1111113
R. Jaros10
WSep 6 · 13:04M. Chmelicek1.2511119622R. Jaros3.7569111143LSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101LSep 6 · 11:35R. Jaros2.6311811121P. Pesout1.4481113143LSep 6 · 10:05M. Chmelicek1.201112109113R. Jaros4.33810121172LSep 5 · 17:15M. Chmelicek1.1716115113R. Jaros4.501481131WSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113LSep 5 · 14:05M. Chmelicek1.171111113R. Jaros4.502750LSep 4 · 21:15M. Chmelicek—1111113R. Jaros—4790LSep 4 · 20:35M. Cyrus1.44111011113R. Jaros2.63412771LSep 4 · 19:35R. Jaros3.255510M. Rojka1.331111113
T. Motacek10
WSep 6 · 13:35P. Pesout1.80611881T. Motacek1.9111811113WSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101WSep 6 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.676790T. Motacek2.101111113LSep 6 · 10:35P. Pesout1.83111247113T. Motacek1.83910111192WSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113WSep 5 · 16:05M. Chmelicek1.53591111102T. Motacek2.38111196123LSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123LAug 29 · 17:35T. Motacek2.3711511492M. Chmelicek1.52711911113WAug 29 · 16:35R. Jaros1.911850T. Motacek1.801111113LAug 29 · 15:35T. Motacek2.008118151M. Chmelicek1.7311911173
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